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PoliticsActiveends Nov 3, 2026

Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

0.1¢

No

100.0¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 5 tracked sharps

Strong

No 81%Yes 19%

5 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x1cfc…2111	No	$98	71.5¢	1.6×	+38%	45%	Sharp
0xa5e3…4d7e	Yes	$21	2.2¢	1.0×	+9%	25%	Sharp
0x2cc7…2385	No	$5	99.8¢	0.5×	+10%	4%	Sharp
0xcd91…32b8	Yes	$3	2.2¢	0.1×	+15%	76%	Profitable
0x0e7f…2015	Yes	$0	2.2¢	0.0×	+7%	47%	Profitable

0x1cfc…2111Sharp

No$98 @ 71.5¢

Conv: 1.6×
ROI: +38%
Win%: 45%

0xa5e3…4d7eSharp

Yes$21 @ 2.2¢

Conv: 1.0×
ROI: +9%
Win%: 25%

0x2cc7…2385Sharp

No$5 @ 99.8¢

Conv: 0.5×
ROI: +10%
Win%: 4%

0xcd91…32b8Profitable

Yes$3 @ 2.2¢

Conv: 0.1×
ROI: +15%
Win%: 76%

0x0e7f…2015Profitable

Yes$0 @ 2.2¢

Conv: 0.0×
ROI: +7%
Win%: 47%