PoliticsActiveends Oct 5, 2026

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 39% and 42% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

38.5¢

No

61.5¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 4 tracked sharps

Lean

No 69%Yes 31%

4 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0xd24b…ef76	No	$389	65.0¢	2.4×	+27%	66%	Sharp
0xa066…710b	Yes	$140	35.0¢	7.6×	+23%	43%	Profitable
0x5848…b529	No	$114	71.0¢	2.9×	+15%	64%	Sharp
0x88c4…129a	Yes	$89	37.8¢	0.1×	+37%	74%	Sharp

0xd24b…ef76Sharp

No$389 @ 65.0¢

Conv: 2.4×
ROI: +27%
Win%: 66%

0xa066…710bProfitable

Yes$140 @ 35.0¢

Conv: 7.6×
ROI: +23%
Win%: 43%

0x5848…b529Sharp

No$114 @ 71.0¢

Conv: 2.9×
ROI: +15%
Win%: 64%

0x88c4…129aSharp

Yes$89 @ 37.8¢

Conv: 0.1×
ROI: +37%
Win%: 74%