GeopoliticsActiveends Jan 1, 2027

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

6.0¢

No

94.0¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 4 tracked sharps

Lean

No 80%Yes 20%

Include 13 outside the consensus pool4 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x77c3…00c8	No	$2.4k	81.5¢	21×	+13%	51%	Sharp
0xc390…2a1f	Yes	$738	19.4¢	17×	+13%	28%	Sharp
0xe54b…aa14	No	$549	90.1¢	3.4×	+21%	84%	Sharp
0xf16d…b7f9	Yes	$16	21.0¢	0.8×	+7%	39%	Sharp

0x77c3…00c8Sharp

No$2.4k @ 81.5¢

Conv: 21×
ROI: +13%
Win%: 51%

0xc390…2a1fSharp

Yes$738 @ 19.4¢

Conv: 17×
ROI: +13%
Win%: 28%

0xe54b…aa14Sharp

No$549 @ 90.1¢

Conv: 3.4×
ROI: +21%
Win%: 84%

0xf16d…b7f9Sharp

Yes$16 @ 21.0¢

Conv: 0.8×
ROI: +7%
Win%: 39%