← Market consensus

PoliticsActiveends Jul 29, 2026

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

80.5¢

No

19.5¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 57 tracked sharps

Strong

Yes 93%No 7%

58 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0xa52b…9480	Yes	$214.8k	87.9¢	498×	+14%	96%	Sharp
0x1521…f23e	Yes	$90.8k	39.5¢	159×	+15%	99%	Sharp
0x0e5b…a593	Yes	$89.3k	46.7¢	174×	+283%	94%	Profitable
0xb1a2…372a	Yes	$44.0k	73.8¢	109×	+78%	38%	Sharp
0xc658…b784	No	$43.4k	26.0¢	7.4×	+10%	56%	Sharp
0x9aeb…2729	Yes	$30.0k	89.6¢	115×	+43%	45%	Sharp
0xe533…ab29	Yes	$26.8k	85.2¢	335×	+9%	29%	Profitable
0x73e3…3239	Yes	$22.9k	83.1¢	42×	+47%	66%	Sharp
0x277e…7d32	Yes	$17.7k	88.7¢	115×	+25%	86%	Sharp
0xce83…5b97	Yes	$16.7k	80.0¢	66×	+17%	87%	Sharp
0x22e4…ef1c	Yes	$9.2k	92.0¢	11×	+17%	97%	Sharp
0x3032…99e7	Yes	$8.8k	78.1¢	44×	+22%	93%	Sharp
0x2ed8…93d4	Yes	$8.5k	81.0¢	305×	+17%	41%	Sharp
0x4e09…d784	Yes	$7.1k	75.9¢	44×	+11%	34%	Sharp
0x6dce…4490	Yes	$7.1k	73.6¢	191×	+193%	41%	Profitable
0x7e30…1e50	Yes	$7.0k	74.8¢	97×	+9%	51%	Profitable
0xa189…a2d5	Yes	$6.8k	86.5¢	33×	+18%	72%	Sharp
0x7131…29cc	Yes	$3.5k	77.1¢	6.9×	+15%	72%	Sharp
0xcdf8…b8ea	Yes	$2.7k	90.5¢	29×	+8%	24%	Sharp
0x5188…c804	Yes	$2.4k	81.4¢	3.4×	+13%	46%	Sharp
0x3437…f8f3	Yes	$2.2k	76.8¢	67×	+49%	21%	Sharp
0x69ac…7b99	Yes	$1.3k	80.2¢	5.2×	+22%	81%	Sharp
0xf5e0…41a8	Yes	$1.2k	81.2¢	45×	+133%	90%	Profitable
0xe7f4…bc90	No	$1.1k	8.4¢	3.2×	+19%	30%	Sharp
0x2783…8321	Yes	$1.0k	91.8¢	22×	+101%	83%	Profitable
0x81e9…1812	Yes	$994	84.3¢	33×	+44%	48%	Sharp
0x8768…dd9b	Yes	$952	95.2¢	3.1×	+18%	74%	Sharp
0xcb59…0a22	Yes	$844	20.0¢	2.2×	+36%	68%	Sharp
0x7a3d…90e6	Yes	$843	78.9¢	15×	+30%	54%	Sharp
0x198a…3ca3	Yes	$678	84.5¢	5.3×	+13%	80%	Sharp
0xbfd6…a888	Yes	$580	80.7¢	6.0×	+17%	94%	Sharp
0x014c…820c	No	$296	11.5¢	0.4×	+29%	49%	Profitable
0xf6ea…0a00	No	$268	12.0¢	8.3×	+21%	20%	Sharp
0xde04…fa37	No	$247	7.7¢	2.7×	+20%	42%	Sharp
0xa79d…ee14	Yes	$200	82.7¢	9.4×	+7%	61%	Profitable
0xf6c6…7d80	Yes	$150	95.9¢	1.3×	+18%	90%	Sharp
0xbdd1…0c4f	Yes	$147	73.5¢	7.0×	+24%	64%	Profitable
0xfc1f…a246	Yes	$125	77.5¢	1.4×	+3%	85%	Profitable
0xeae1…65ec	Yes	$89	85.8¢	11×	+42%	43%	Sharp
0x71e1…45f0	Yes	$79	79.0¢	0.5×	+15%	40%	Sharp
0x78cc…c56e	Yes	$66	74.3¢	0.3×	+63%	64%	Profitable
0xcce8…4197	Yes	$50	74.0¢	0.8×	+44%	91%	Sharp
0x490e…123a	Yes	$48	81.6¢	13×	+14%	41%	Sharp
0x131a…e4d0	No	$41	13.3¢	18×	+29%	46%	Profitable
0x28b8…5e00	Yes	$24	80.7¢	12×	+63%	52%	Profitable
0x71e1…45f0	No	$20	20.0¢	0.1×	+15%	40%	Sharp
0x9260…311c	Yes	$15	83.6¢	10×	+22%	69%	Sharp
0x767b…6512	Yes	$14	76.9¢	2.9×	+10%	65%	Profitable
0x648b…00ba	No	$10	11.9¢	5.0×	+89%	69%	Profitable
0x7b64…8440	No	$10	24.7¢	2.1×	+57%	63%	Profitable
0x3472…bc66	No	$10	10.0¢	2.2×	+140%	33%	Sharp
0x4da9…3f5d	No	$5	24.7¢	1.0×	+38%	67%	Profitable
0x8dd7…dd08	Yes	$5	90.0¢	0.0×	+48%	58%	Sharp
0x48f9…e61d	No	$2	8.0¢	0.1×	+88%	23%	Sharp
0x0bbe…552d	No	$1	20.5¢	0.3×	+29%	80%	Sharp
0xdd9b…705e	No	$1	16.0¢	0.8×	+39%	18%	Sharp
0x0d7e…cb13	Yes	$1	90.0¢	0.1×	+396%	14%	Sharp
0x01ee…c603	No	$1	22.7¢	1.0×	+5%	57%	Sharp

0xa52b…9480Sharp

Yes$214.8k @ 87.9¢

Conv: 498×
ROI: +14%
Win%: 96%

0x1521…f23eSharp

Yes$90.8k @ 39.5¢

Conv: 159×
ROI: +15%
Win%: 99%

0x0e5b…a593Profitable

Yes$89.3k @ 46.7¢

Conv: 174×
ROI: +283%
Win%: 94%

0xb1a2…372aSharp

Yes$44.0k @ 73.8¢

Conv: 109×
ROI: +78%
Win%: 38%

0xc658…b784Sharp

No$43.4k @ 26.0¢

Conv: 7.4×
ROI: +10%
Win%: 56%

0x9aeb…2729Sharp

Yes$30.0k @ 89.6¢

Conv: 115×
ROI: +43%
Win%: 45%

0xe533…ab29Profitable

Yes$26.8k @ 85.2¢

Conv: 335×
ROI: +9%
Win%: 29%

0x73e3…3239Sharp

Yes$22.9k @ 83.1¢

Conv: 42×
ROI: +47%
Win%: 66%

0x277e…7d32Sharp

Yes$17.7k @ 88.7¢

Conv: 115×
ROI: +25%
Win%: 86%

0xce83…5b97Sharp

Yes$16.7k @ 80.0¢

Conv: 66×
ROI: +17%
Win%: 87%

0x22e4…ef1cSharp

Yes$9.2k @ 92.0¢

Conv: 11×
ROI: +17%
Win%: 97%

0x3032…99e7Sharp

Yes$8.8k @ 78.1¢

Conv: 44×
ROI: +22%
Win%: 93%

0x2ed8…93d4Sharp

Yes$8.5k @ 81.0¢

Conv: 305×
ROI: +17%
Win%: 41%

0x4e09…d784Sharp

Yes$7.1k @ 75.9¢

Conv: 44×
ROI: +11%
Win%: 34%

0x6dce…4490Profitable

Yes$7.1k @ 73.6¢

Conv: 191×
ROI: +193%
Win%: 41%

0x7e30…1e50Profitable

Yes$7.0k @ 74.8¢

Conv: 97×
ROI: +9%
Win%: 51%

0xa189…a2d5Sharp

Yes$6.8k @ 86.5¢

Conv: 33×
ROI: +18%
Win%: 72%

0x7131…29ccSharp

Yes$3.5k @ 77.1¢

Conv: 6.9×
ROI: +15%
Win%: 72%

0xcdf8…b8eaSharp

Yes$2.7k @ 90.5¢

Conv: 29×
ROI: +8%
Win%: 24%

0x5188…c804Sharp

Yes$2.4k @ 81.4¢

Conv: 3.4×
ROI: +13%
Win%: 46%

0x3437…f8f3Sharp

Yes$2.2k @ 76.8¢

Conv: 67×
ROI: +49%
Win%: 21%

0x69ac…7b99Sharp

Yes$1.3k @ 80.2¢

Conv: 5.2×
ROI: +22%
Win%: 81%

0xf5e0…41a8Profitable

Yes$1.2k @ 81.2¢

Conv: 45×
ROI: +133%
Win%: 90%

0xe7f4…bc90Sharp

No$1.1k @ 8.4¢

Conv: 3.2×
ROI: +19%
Win%: 30%

0x2783…8321Profitable

Yes$1.0k @ 91.8¢

Conv: 22×
ROI: +101%
Win%: 83%

0x81e9…1812Sharp

Yes$994 @ 84.3¢

Conv: 33×
ROI: +44%
Win%: 48%

0x8768…dd9bSharp

Yes$952 @ 95.2¢

Conv: 3.1×
ROI: +18%
Win%: 74%

0xcb59…0a22Sharp

Yes$844 @ 20.0¢

Conv: 2.2×
ROI: +36%
Win%: 68%

0x7a3d…90e6Sharp

Yes$843 @ 78.9¢

Conv: 15×
ROI: +30%
Win%: 54%

0x198a…3ca3Sharp

Yes$678 @ 84.5¢

Conv: 5.3×
ROI: +13%
Win%: 80%

0xbfd6…a888Sharp

Yes$580 @ 80.7¢

Conv: 6.0×
ROI: +17%
Win%: 94%

0x014c…820cProfitable

No$296 @ 11.5¢

Conv: 0.4×
ROI: +29%
Win%: 49%

0xf6ea…0a00Sharp

No$268 @ 12.0¢

Conv: 8.3×
ROI: +21%
Win%: 20%

0xde04…fa37Sharp

No$247 @ 7.7¢

Conv: 2.7×
ROI: +20%
Win%: 42%

0xa79d…ee14Profitable

Yes$200 @ 82.7¢

Conv: 9.4×
ROI: +7%
Win%: 61%

0xf6c6…7d80Sharp

Yes$150 @ 95.9¢

Conv: 1.3×
ROI: +18%
Win%: 90%

0xbdd1…0c4fProfitable

Yes$147 @ 73.5¢

Conv: 7.0×
ROI: +24%
Win%: 64%

0xfc1f…a246Profitable

Yes$125 @ 77.5¢

Conv: 1.4×
ROI: +3%
Win%: 85%

0xeae1…65ecSharp

Yes$89 @ 85.8¢

Conv: 11×
ROI: +42%
Win%: 43%

0x71e1…45f0Sharp

Yes$79 @ 79.0¢

Conv: 0.5×
ROI: +15%
Win%: 40%

0x78cc…c56eProfitable

Yes$66 @ 74.3¢

Conv: 0.3×
ROI: +63%
Win%: 64%

0xcce8…4197Sharp

Yes$50 @ 74.0¢

Conv: 0.8×
ROI: +44%
Win%: 91%

0x490e…123aSharp

Yes$48 @ 81.6¢

Conv: 13×
ROI: +14%
Win%: 41%

0x131a…e4d0Profitable

No$41 @ 13.3¢

Conv: 18×
ROI: +29%
Win%: 46%

0x28b8…5e00Profitable

Yes$24 @ 80.7¢

Conv: 12×
ROI: +63%
Win%: 52%

0x71e1…45f0Sharp

No$20 @ 20.0¢

Conv: 0.1×
ROI: +15%
Win%: 40%

0x9260…311cSharp

Yes$15 @ 83.6¢

Conv: 10×
ROI: +22%
Win%: 69%

0x767b…6512Profitable

Yes$14 @ 76.9¢

Conv: 2.9×
ROI: +10%
Win%: 65%

0x648b…00baProfitable

No$10 @ 11.9¢

Conv: 5.0×
ROI: +89%
Win%: 69%

0x7b64…8440Profitable

No$10 @ 24.7¢

Conv: 2.1×
ROI: +57%
Win%: 63%

0x3472…bc66Sharp

No$10 @ 10.0¢

Conv: 2.2×
ROI: +140%
Win%: 33%

0x4da9…3f5dProfitable

No$5 @ 24.7¢

Conv: 1.0×
ROI: +38%
Win%: 67%

0x8dd7…dd08Sharp

Yes$5 @ 90.0¢

Conv: 0.0×
ROI: +48%
Win%: 58%

0x48f9…e61dSharp

No$2 @ 8.0¢

Conv: 0.1×
ROI: +88%
Win%: 23%

0x0bbe…552dSharp

No$1 @ 20.5¢

Conv: 0.3×
ROI: +29%
Win%: 80%

0xdd9b…705eSharp

No$1 @ 16.0¢

Conv: 0.8×
ROI: +39%
Win%: 18%

0x0d7e…cb13Sharp

Yes$1 @ 90.0¢

Conv: 0.1×
ROI: +396%
Win%: 14%

0x01ee…c603Sharp

No$1 @ 22.7¢

Conv: 1.0×
ROI: +5%
Win%: 57%