← Market consensus
PoliticsActiveends Dec 31, 2026

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

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Yes

20.5¢

No

79.5¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢ smart-money trades
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Smart money here · 4 tracked sharps

Contested
Yes 55%No 45%
4 shown ·
Yes$2.3k @ 23.1¢
Conv
16×
ROI
+39%
Win%
28%
No$1.8k @ 79.7¢
Conv
8.8×
ROI
+19%
Win%
97%
No$59 @ 79.4¢
Conv
11×
ROI
+25%
Win%
62%
0xaed4…7f61Profitable
Yes$1 @ 22.0¢
Conv
0.0×
ROI
+475%
Win%
39%