0x3767…5e7c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3767c2a5111f29d604d0d118e8761e4f35fb5e7c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.2pp

ROI

+6%

Win rate

42% @ 38.0¢

Brier

0.189

Resolved

763

Avg size

$10

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	41% (36/88)	+23%	88
Sports	39% (34/87)	+8%	87
Other	35% (24/68)	-47%	68
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Politics88 bets
Hit rate
41% (36/88)
ROI
+23%
Sports87 bets
Hit rate
39% (34/87)
ROI
+8%
Other68 bets
Hit rate
35% (24/68)
ROI
-47%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

39% hit · 94/244

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	$19	19.0¢	Won
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?	Yes	$8	4.0¢	Won
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?	Yes	$5	98.2¢	Won
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	Yes	$20	98.0¢	Won
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?	Yes	$44	98.6¢	Won
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	No	$86	78.5¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	$40	40.0¢	Lost
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	$43	72.0¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	$136	34.0¢	Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$22	22.0¢	Won
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$17	2.5¢	Lost
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$11	73.0¢	Won
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	No	$258	69.1¢	Lost
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	$38	25.0¢	Won
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$16	27.0¢	Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	$28	21.3¢	Lost
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$18	20.0¢	Lost
Will Marília Arraes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?	Yes	$2	4.0¢	Won
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$9	2.4¢	Lost
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	$53	7.8¢	Lost
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$11	56.5¢	Lost
Will Mendonça Filho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?	Yes	$5	7.9¢	Lost
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	$144	27.9¢	Lost
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	$70	71.9¢	Won
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$35	18.4¢	Lost
Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$9	21.5¢	Lost
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	1.1¢	Lost
Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?	Yes	$21	22.6¢	Won
Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?	Yes	$16	11.0¢	Lost
50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?	No	$49	56.6¢	Won
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?	Yes	$3	29.0¢	Lost
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	Yes	$7	32.0¢	Lost
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 0.5%-1%?	Yes	$4	8.0¢	Lost
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?	Yes	$20	1.9¢	Lost
Kamala positive favorability by Friday?	Yes	$10	58.0¢	Won
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$13	42.0¢	Lost
Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?	Yes	$104	41.0¢	Lost
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$21	68.3¢	Lost
Fight to Go the Distance?	No	$40	69.6¢	Lost
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$45	0.3¢	Lost
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$9	5.8¢	Lost
Will Tabata Amaral win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?	Yes	$18	0.7¢	Lost
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	$12	18.0¢	Won
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$10	65.0¢	Lost
Will Eduardo da Fonte win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?	Yes	$2	1.3¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$27	54.0¢	Won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)	Germany	$10	24.5¢	Lost
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?	No	$25	77.0¢	Lost
Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	$45	74.3¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$15	37.3¢	Lost

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Won
Yes$19 @ 19.0¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?Won
Yes$8 @ 4.0¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?Won
Yes$5 @ 98.2¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Won
Yes$20 @ 98.0¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?Won
Yes$44 @ 98.6¢
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Won
No$86 @ 78.5¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Lost
Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Won
Yes$43 @ 72.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Lost
Yes$136 @ 34.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
Yes$22 @ 22.0¢
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$17 @ 2.5¢
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$11 @ 73.0¢
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Lost
No$258 @ 69.1¢
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Won
Yes$38 @ 25.0¢
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
Yes$16 @ 27.0¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Lost
Yes$28 @ 21.3¢
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$18 @ 20.0¢
Will Marília Arraes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?Won
Yes$2 @ 4.0¢
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$9 @ 2.4¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Lost
Yes$53 @ 7.8¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$11 @ 56.5¢
Will Mendonça Filho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?Lost
Yes$5 @ 7.9¢
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Lost
Yes$144 @ 27.9¢
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Won
Yes$70 @ 71.9¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$35 @ 18.4¢
Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$9 @ 21.5¢
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?Won
Yes$21 @ 22.6¢
Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Lost
Yes$16 @ 11.0¢
50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?Won
No$49 @ 56.6¢
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$3 @ 29.0¢
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?Lost
Yes$7 @ 32.0¢
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 0.5%-1%?Lost
Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?Lost
Yes$20 @ 1.9¢
Kamala positive favorability by Friday?Won
Yes$10 @ 58.0¢
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$13 @ 42.0¢
Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?Lost
Yes$104 @ 41.0¢
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$21 @ 68.3¢
Fight to Go the Distance?Lost
No$40 @ 69.6¢
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$45 @ 0.3¢
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
Yes$9 @ 5.8¢
Will Tabata Amaral win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?Lost
Yes$18 @ 0.7¢
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Won
Yes$12 @ 18.0¢
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$10 @ 65.0¢
Will Eduardo da Fonte win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.3¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Won
Yes$27 @ 54.0¢
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Lost
Germany$10 @ 24.5¢
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? Lost
No$25 @ 77.0¢
Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Lost
Yes$45 @ 74.3¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Lost
Yes$15 @ 37.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$75	75.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$54	27.0¢

Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$75 @ 75.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$54 @ 27.0¢