0x2974…9c23

Specialization by sphere

• Other49 bets

  Hit rate

  90% (44/49)

  ROI

  +30%

• Politics26 bets

  Hit rate

  88% (23/26)

  ROI

  +14%

• Geopolitics19 bets

  Hit rate

  74% (14/19)

  ROI

  +10%

• Sports2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +68%

• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
  No$2.7k @ 78.5¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
  No$5.7k @ 76.6¢
• Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?Won
  No$1.0k @ 89.0¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Lost
  No$260 @ 79.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Won
  No$11.1k @ 89.5¢
• Will Moreirense FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 62.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
  No$48.0k @ 84.5¢
• Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami MarlinsWon
  Baltimore Orioles$6.3k @ 85.9¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
  No$3.8k @ 63.4¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Lost
  No$731 @ 70.2¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Won
  No$432 @ 80.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Won
  No$11.2k @ 80.2¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Won
  Yes$9.9k @ 64.4¢
• Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado RockiesWon
  Atlanta Braves$2.0k @ 89.5¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Won
  No$26.6k @ 80.2¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Won
  No$26.1k @ 76.5¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Won
  Yes$2.0k @ 85.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Won
  Yes$243 @ 81.3¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Won
  Yes$1.6k @ 87.2¢
• Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Won
  No$2.9k @ 89.6¢
• Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Won
  Yes$2.2k @ 82.4¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Won
  No$10.9k @ 84.3¢
• Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Won
  No$1.9k @ 88.1¢
• Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$1.1k @ 79.0¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Won
  No$708 @ 84.9¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?Won
  No$1.4k @ 85.8¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?Won
  No$1.6k @ 81.5¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Won
  No$10.3k @ 85.2¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Lost
  No$31.8k @ 67.8¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Won
  No$141 @ 89.0¢
• Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?Won
  No$2.9k @ 85.0¢
• 76ers vs. CelticsWon
  76ers$722 @ 89.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Lost
  No$8.4k @ 73.1¢
• Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Won
  No$2.8k @ 83.1¢
• Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02?Won
  Yes$2.1k @ 89.0¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Won
  Yes$45.7k @ 61.8¢
• Iran closes its airspace by July 15?Lost
  No$1.4k @ 73.3¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Won
  No$12.0k @ 87.8¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Won
  No$159 @ 75.4¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Won
  Yes$11.5k @ 83.3¢
• Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Lost
  No$103 @ 15.2¢
• Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Won
  Yes$1.8k @ 87.3¢
• Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Won
  No$11.6k @ 79.8¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?Won
  No$10.1k @ 88.8¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Won
  Yes$13.2k @ 88.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
  No$37.0k @ 85.3¢
• Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Won
  No$2.6k @ 84.5¢
• US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
  Yes$76.7k @ 72.1¢
• Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$34.2k @ 59.1¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Won
  No$23.9k @ 84.8¢

Current positions

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics
  No$71.5k @ 80.1¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$56.9k @ 70.8¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$52.8k @ 45.6¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$50.2k @ 56.3¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$34.2k @ 87.4¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?Other
  No$27.7k @ 83.2¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Other
  No$22.8k @ 73.3¢
• Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$19.6k @ 89.9¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$17.0k @ 85.8¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics
  No$10.2k @ 86.6¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Geopolitics
  Yes$9.3k @ 84.5¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$5.6k @ 83.5¢
• Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics
  No$5.5k @ 70.6¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$4.0k @ 22.6¢
• Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$3.6k @ 79.3¢
• Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Sports
  No$3.3k @ 83.6¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 86.2¢
• Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$955 @ 88.0¢
• Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics
  Yes$825 @ 84.3¢
• Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$777 @ 78.1¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Politics
  Yes$776 @ 89.5¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?Politics
  Yes$431 @ 94.0¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Politics
  No$309 @ 83.4¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Other
  No$305 @ 86.2¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Politics
  Yes$303 @ 22.2¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Politics
  Yes$296 @ 86.3¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?Politics
  Yes$258 @ 59.5¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?Politics
  Yes$235 @ 83.2¢
• Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?Politics
  Yes$210 @ 74.7¢
• Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$95 @ 47.7¢