PoliticsResolvedends Oct 5, 2026

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

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Yes

0.0¢

No

100.0¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 4 tracked sharps

Include 1 outside the consensus pool4 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x2200…0f2d	Yes	$1.5k	11.0¢	12×	+14%	28%	Sharp
0x6512…5291	Yes	$140	14.0¢	1.3×	+6%	56%	Sharp
0xd24b…ef76	Yes	$95	10.5¢	0.6×	+30%	67%	Sharp
0xf5e4…471a	Yes	$51	6.0¢	10×	+12%	12%	Sharp

0x2200…0f2dSharp

Yes$1.5k @ 11.0¢

Conv: 12×
ROI: +14%
Win%: 28%

0x6512…5291Sharp

Yes$140 @ 14.0¢

Conv: 1.3×
ROI: +6%
Win%: 56%

0xd24b…ef76Sharp

Yes$95 @ 10.5¢

Conv: 0.6×
ROI: +30%
Win%: 67%

0xf5e4…471aSharp

Yes$51 @ 6.0¢

Conv: 10×
ROI: +12%
Win%: 12%