← Market consensus
Activeends Aug 31, 2026

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

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Yes

63.5¢

No

36.5¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢ smart-money trades
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Smart money here · 5 tracked sharps

Strong
No 96%Yes 4%
5 shown ·
No$1.1k @ 36.6¢
Conv
2.4×
ROI
+58%
Win%
37%
No$200 @ 47.0¢
Conv
1.2×
ROI
+39%
Win%
53%
Yes$61 @ 61.0¢
Conv
0.4×
ROI
+27%
Win%
61%
0xcf19…6402Profitable
No$54 @ 41.0¢
Conv
0.3×
ROI
+321%
Win%
98%
No$8 @ 47.0¢
Conv
2.1×
ROI
+13%
Win%
61%