← Market consensus

Activeends Jul 4, 2026

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

74.5¢

No

25.5¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 4 tracked sharps

Unanimous

Yes 100%

4 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0xce83…5b97	Yes	$130	82.0¢	0.5×	+18%	88%	Sharp
0xb476…6eac	Yes	$89	89.3¢	0.4×	+14%	46%	Sharp
0xa79d…ee14	Yes	$4	82.0¢	0.2×	+7%	62%	Profitable
0x490e…123a	Yes	$4	87.5¢	0.8×	+33%	48%	Sharp

0xce83…5b97Sharp

Yes$130 @ 82.0¢

Conv: 0.5×
ROI: +18%
Win%: 88%

0xb476…6eacSharp

Yes$89 @ 89.3¢

Conv: 0.4×
ROI: +14%
Win%: 46%

0xa79d…ee14Profitable

Yes$4 @ 82.0¢

Conv: 0.2×
ROI: +7%
Win%: 62%

0x490e…123aSharp

Yes$4 @ 87.5¢

Conv: 0.8×
ROI: +33%
Win%: 48%