0xb476…6eac

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb476d52d74d0ecd55fb80f9bc96e93a267ad6eac
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.6pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

46% @ 35.6¢

Brier

0.200

Resolved

290

Avg size

$235

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	26% (17/66)	-17%	66
Other	57% (8/14)	+28%	14
Politics	67% (2/3)	+104%	3
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+250%	1

Sports66 bets
Hit rate
26% (17/66)
ROI
-17%
Other14 bets
Hit rate
57% (8/14)
ROI
+28%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+104%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+250%

Track record

33% hit · 28/84

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$62	2.0¢	Lost
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$206	4.1¢	Lost
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$32	2.1¢	Lost
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	$2.3k	72.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5	Over	$214	41.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5	Under	$504	72.2¢	Won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5	Over	$31	16.0¢	Lost
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5	Over	$153	54.6¢	Lost
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$95	2.3¢	Lost
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 0.5	Under	$103	3.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$63	6.1¢	Lost
Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$103	16.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$5.2k	36.2¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$467	46.0¢	Won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	$101	54.0¢	Won
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$327	32.0¢	Lost
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	$102	50.0¢	Lost
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Over	$51	7.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.0k	68.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.3k	28.6¢	Won
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Over	$2.3k	67.3¢	Won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5	Over	$61	18.4¢	Lost
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$103	0.1¢	Lost
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$17	3.3¢	Lost
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$111	0.2¢	Lost
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$8.4k	48.2¢	Won
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.4k	56.3¢	Lost
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$677	25.5¢	Lost
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$676	67.0¢	Won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5	Over	$2.5k	81.3¢	Won
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$133	13.0¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$113	5.5¢	Lost
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$312	4.1¢	Lost
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$405	62.4¢	Won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5	Over	$31	17.6¢	Lost
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$15	3.0¢	Lost
Canada leading at halftime?	Yes	$39	38.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$269	53.0¢	Won
Panama vs. England: O/U 0.5	Over	$903	88.1¢	Won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5	Over	$1.9k	66.3¢	Lost
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$415	31.3¢	Won
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$92	18.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3.7k	87.9¢	Won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$2.2k	83.0¢	Won
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$636	48.2¢	Lost
Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	$103	15.0¢	Lost
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$245	24.0¢	Lost
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$63	31.0¢	Won
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$367	36.0¢	Lost
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$32	4.0¢	Lost

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$62 @ 2.0¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$206 @ 4.1¢
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$32 @ 2.1¢
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 1.5Won
Over$2.3k @ 72.0¢
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$214 @ 41.0¢
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Won
Under$504 @ 72.2¢
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$31 @ 16.0¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$153 @ 54.6¢
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$95 @ 2.3¢
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$103 @ 3.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$63 @ 6.1¢
Panama vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Over$103 @ 16.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$5.2k @ 36.2¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$467 @ 46.0¢
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 1.5Won
Over$101 @ 54.0¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Lost
Yes$327 @ 32.0¢
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?Lost
Yes$102 @ 50.0¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5Lost
Over$51 @ 7.0¢
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 68.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$2.3k @ 28.6¢
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 2.5Won
Over$2.3k @ 67.3¢
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Lost
Over$61 @ 18.4¢
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$103 @ 0.1¢
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$17 @ 3.3¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Lost
No$111 @ 0.2¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Won
Yes$8.4k @ 48.2¢
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.4k @ 56.3¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$677 @ 25.5¢
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$676 @ 67.0¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5Won
Over$2.5k @ 81.3¢
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$133 @ 13.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$113 @ 5.5¢
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?Lost
Yes$312 @ 4.1¢
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Won
Over$405 @ 62.4¢
England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Lost
Over$31 @ 17.6¢
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$15 @ 3.0¢
Canada leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$39 @ 38.0¢
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$269 @ 53.0¢
Panama vs. England: O/U 0.5Won
Over$903 @ 88.1¢
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$1.9k @ 66.3¢
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Won
Yes$415 @ 31.3¢
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$92 @ 18.0¢
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$3.7k @ 87.9¢
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Won
Over$2.2k @ 83.0¢
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Lost
Yes$636 @ 48.2¢
Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Lost
Over$103 @ 15.0¢
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?Lost
Yes$245 @ 24.0¢
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$63 @ 31.0¢
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$367 @ 36.0¢
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$32 @ 4.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$2.2k	29.7¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1.1k	17.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Politics	Yes	$1000	45.8¢
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$1000	83.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$417	7.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$412	13.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Politics	Yes	$270	27.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	Yes	$250	25.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$245	24.5¢
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$192	3.2¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$174	17.4¢
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$165	13.0¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$156	2.6¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$150	2.5¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$150	15.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	Politics	Yes	$140	14.0¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$140	2.3¢
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?	—	Yes	$89	89.3¢
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$84	16.8¢
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?	Politics	Yes	$79	79.0¢
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$68	6.8¢
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$56	5.6¢
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$35	7.0¢
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$32	4.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$20	3.9¢
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$17	3.3¢
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$15	3.0¢
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$13	2.5¢

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$2.2k @ 29.7¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$1.1k @ 17.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics
Yes$1000 @ 45.8¢
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5—
Over$1000 @ 83.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$417 @ 7.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$412 @ 13.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics
Yes$270 @ 27.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
Yes$250 @ 25.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$245 @ 24.5¢
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$192 @ 3.2¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$174 @ 17.4¢
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$165 @ 13.0¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$156 @ 2.6¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$150 @ 2.5¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$150 @ 15.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Politics
Yes$140 @ 14.0¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$140 @ 2.3¢
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?—
Yes$89 @ 89.3¢
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$84 @ 16.8¢
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?Politics
Yes$79 @ 79.0¢
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$68 @ 6.8¢
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$56 @ 5.6¢
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$35 @ 7.0¢
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$32 @ 4.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$20 @ 3.9¢
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$17 @ 3.3¢
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$15 @ 3.0¢
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$13 @ 2.5¢