← Smart money
0xa79d…ee14
ProfitableSniperEdge
+5.7pp
ROI
+6%
Win rate
61% @ 55.1¢
Brier
0.231
Resolved
850
Avg size
$17
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 51% (101/199) | +7% | 199 |
| Politics | 73% (11/15) | -2% | 15 |
| Science | 33% (1/3) | +645% | 3 |
| Crypto | 67% (2/3) | -15% | 3 |
| Sports | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +64% | 1 |
- Other199 bets
- Hit rate
- 51% (101/199)
- ROI
- +7%
- Politics15 bets
- Hit rate
- 73% (11/15)
- ROI
- -2%
- Science3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +645%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- -15%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +64%
Track record
52% hit · 116/224- Over$6 @ 11.9¢
- Under$1 @ 30.0¢
- No$9 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 47.0¢
- Colorado Rockies$1 @ 10.0¢
- Los Angeles Dodgers$25 @ 74.0¢
- No$1 @ 90.0¢
- Rockets$111 @ 53.0¢
- Over$1 @ 51.0¢
- Celtics$100 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 69.0¢
- No$198 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 19.1¢
- No$3 @ 74.9¢
- No$200 @ 59.0¢
- Hornets$100 @ 18.0¢
- Over$100 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 11.0¢
- Phantom$10 @ 74.5¢
- eSuba$3 @ 15.3¢
- Jenson Brooksby$100 @ 15.0¢
- Over$34 @ 42.2¢
- Under$25 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 13.6¢
- Nuggets$100 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 50.0¢
- No$200 @ 86.9¢
- Over$5 @ 31.7¢
- Elena Rybakina$211 @ 83.8¢
- Antalyaspor$1 @ 78.0¢
- No$72 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 72.9¢
- No$700 @ 84.2¢
- Yes$100 @ 50.0¢
- No$5 @ 58.9¢
- Over$100 @ 50.0¢
- No$1 @ 82.0¢
- Over$12 @ 29.0¢
- Iva Jovic$50 @ 42.8¢
- No$22 @ 84.2¢
- Under$25 @ 37.0¢
- Raptors$100 @ 51.0¢
- Thunder$200 @ 56.0¢
- Houston Astros$50 @ 59.3¢
- No$15 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
- No$506 @ 55.2¢
- No$45 @ 4.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Politics | Yes | $200 | 30.3¢ |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $88 in June? | — | No | $176 | 84.1¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Geopolitics | No | $99 | 86.0¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | Crypto | No | $99 | 93.5¢ |
| Will Solana dip to $50 in June? | Crypto | No | $74 | 74.3¢ |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Geopolitics | No | $58 | 96.0¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Politics | No | $51 | 68.0¢ |
| Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $49 | 79.9¢ |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Tech | Yes | $24 | 80.5¢ |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | Politics | No | $22 | 35.4¢ |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | Other | No | $15 | 83.0¢ |
- Yes$200 @ 30.3¢
- No$176 @ 84.1¢
- No$99 @ 86.0¢
- No$99 @ 93.5¢
- No$74 @ 74.3¢
- No$58 @ 96.0¢
- No$51 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$49 @ 79.9¢
- Yes$24 @ 80.5¢
- No$22 @ 35.4¢
- No$15 @ 83.0¢