0xa79d…ee14

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa79dda6cdcf898b09a32c6355d2c1837d463ee14
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

ProfitableSniper

Edge

+12.3pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

64% @ 52.1¢

Brier

0.232

Resolved

568

Avg size

$20

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (124/225)	+7%	225
Politics	71% (17/24)	-1%	24
Sports	20% (1/5)	-79%	5
Crypto	80% (4/5)	-6%	5
Science	33% (1/3)	+645%	3
Geopolitics	100% (3/3)	+29%	3
Tech	50% (1/2)	+12%	2

Other225 bets
Hit rate
55% (124/225)
ROI
+7%
Politics24 bets
Hit rate
71% (17/24)
ROI
-1%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-79%
Crypto5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
-6%
Science3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+645%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+29%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+12%

Track record

57% hit · 151/267

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?	No	$99	89.8¢	Won
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$2	67.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	No	$74	79.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	Yes	$25	69.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	No	$74	81.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	No	$49	84.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?	No	$61	92.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?	No	$99	94.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?	No	$99	91.3¢	Won
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?	No	$75	80.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$122	56.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?	No	$99	91.0¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $70 in July?	No	$99	86.0¢	Won
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?	No	$48	49.0¢	Won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?	No	$41	83.0¢	Won
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$75	93.7¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?	No	$3	83.0¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?	No	$49	71.0¢	Won
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$75	67.0¢	Lost
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?	Yes	$74	81.4¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$49	80.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?	No	$49	78.0¢	Won
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?	Yes	$4	82.0¢	Won
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$4	85.0¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	$49	84.0¢	Won
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$49	79.9¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$99	86.0¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	$58	96.0¢	Won
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	$22	35.4¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	No	$75	78.0¢	Won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5	Under	$25	83.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	No	$51	68.0¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	$99	88.0¢	Won
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?	No	$42	83.0¢	Won
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	$12	35.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	$50	83.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	$25	83.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?	No	$99	93.5¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$74	84.0¢	Won
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-11?	No	$9	75.0¢	Won
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	$100	47.0¢	Won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	Los Angeles Dodgers	$25	74.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$1	90.0¢	Won
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	Rockets	$111	53.0¢	Lost
EC Bahia vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5	Over	$1	51.0¢	Lost
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)	Celtics	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$50	69.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$198	69.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$13	19.1¢	Lost

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?Won
No$99 @ 89.8¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Won
Yes$2 @ 67.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?Won
No$74 @ 79.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Won
Yes$25 @ 69.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?Won
No$74 @ 81.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?Won
No$49 @ 84.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?Won
No$61 @ 92.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Lost
No$99 @ 94.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?Won
No$99 @ 91.3¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Won
No$75 @ 80.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$122 @ 56.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?Won
No$99 @ 91.0¢
Will Solana dip to $70 in July?Won
No$99 @ 86.0¢
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Won
No$48 @ 49.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?Won
No$41 @ 83.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Won
No$75 @ 93.7¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?Won
No$3 @ 83.0¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Won
No$49 @ 71.0¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Lost
Yes$75 @ 67.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Won
Yes$74 @ 81.4¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
Yes$49 @ 80.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?Won
No$49 @ 78.0¢
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?Won
Yes$4 @ 82.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Won
No$4 @ 85.0¢
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Won
Yes$49 @ 84.0¢
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$49 @ 79.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$99 @ 86.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
No$58 @ 96.0¢
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Lost
No$22 @ 35.4¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Won
No$75 @ 78.0¢
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Won
Under$25 @ 83.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Won
No$51 @ 68.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Won
Yes$99 @ 88.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Won
No$42 @ 83.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Lost
No$12 @ 35.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Lost
No$50 @ 83.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Won
No$25 @ 83.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Won
No$99 @ 93.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$74 @ 84.0¢
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-11?Won
No$9 @ 75.0¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-25?Won
Yes$100 @ 47.0¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesLost
Colorado Rockies$1 @ 10.0¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesWon
Los Angeles Dodgers$25 @ 74.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
No$1 @ 90.0¢
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lost
Rockets$111 @ 53.0¢
EC Bahia vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$1 @ 51.0¢
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)Lost
Celtics$100 @ 50.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?Won
Yes$50 @ 69.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$198 @ 69.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$13 @ 19.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$200	30.3¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$172	63.1¢
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	—	Yes	$74	82.0¢
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	Politics	Yes	$71	81.0¢
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Politics	Yes	$29	68.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$16	10.2¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$6	73.2¢
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	Geopolitics	No	$4	66.0¢
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?	Politics	Yes	$4	73.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$1	95.8¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1	80.0¢

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$200 @ 30.3¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$172 @ 63.1¢
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?—
Yes$74 @ 82.0¢
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics
Yes$71 @ 81.0¢
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics
Yes$29 @ 68.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$16 @ 10.2¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$6 @ 73.2¢
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?Geopolitics
No$4 @ 66.0¢
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics
Yes$4 @ 73.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?—
Yes$1 @ 95.8¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 80.0¢