0xa79d…ee14

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa79dda6cdcf898b09a32c6355d2c1837d463ee14
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

ProfitableSniper

Edge

+8.6pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

61% @ 52.6¢

Brier

0.239

Resolved

628

Avg size

$21

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	51% (102/201)	+6%	201
Politics	71% (12/17)	-2%	17
Science	33% (1/3)	+645%	3
Crypto	67% (2/3)	-15%	3
Sports	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+64%	1

Other201 bets
Hit rate
51% (102/201)
ROI
+6%
Politics17 bets
Hit rate
71% (12/17)
ROI
-2%
Science3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+645%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-15%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+64%

Track record

52% hit · 118/228

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-11?	No	$9	75.0¢	Won
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	$100	47.0¢	Won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	Los Angeles Dodgers	$25	74.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$1	90.0¢	Won
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	Rockets	$111	53.0¢	Lost
EC Bahia vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5	Over	$1	51.0¢	Lost
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)	Celtics	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$50	69.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$198	69.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$13	19.1¢	Lost
Will Lee Jung-hyun win the 2026 Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election?	No	$3	74.9¢	Won
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?	No	$200	59.0¢	Won
Hornets vs. Magic	Hornets	$100	18.0¢	Lost
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	$100	52.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?	Yes	$50	11.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	Phantom	$10	74.5¢	Won
LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba - Game 3 Winner	eSuba	$3	15.3¢	Lost
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	Jenson Brooksby	$100	15.0¢	Lost
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5	Over	$34	42.2¢	Lost
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5	Under	$25	17.0¢	Won
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	$6	13.6¢	Lost
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)	Nuggets	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$100	54.0¢	Won
Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?	Yes	$25	50.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$200	86.9¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$700	84.2¢	Won
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	$100	50.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?	No	$5	58.9¢	Won
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5	Over	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-13?	No	$1	82.0¢	Lost
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic	Iva Jovic	$50	42.8¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	$22	84.2¢	Won
Falkirk FC vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5	Under	$25	37.0¢	Lost
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Raptors	$100	51.0¢	Lost
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	$200	56.0¢	Won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)	Houston Astros	$50	59.3¢	Won
Will FC Dallas vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	No	$506	55.2¢	Won
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-10?	No	$45	4.7¢	Lost
Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	$75	87.0¢	Won
Bengaluru 2: Kokoro Isomura vs Karan Singh	Kokoro Isomura	$100	34.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$75	83.0¢	Won
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-09?	No	$25	52.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11?	No	$1	71.0¢	Won
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?	No	$13	9.0¢	Lost
LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 Winner	Misa Esports	$4	86.0¢	Won
Paris: Veronika Podrez vs Sloane Stephens	Sloane Stephens	$100	37.0¢	Lost
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$2	76.0¢	Won
US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5	Under	$42	13.4¢	Lost

Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-11?Won
No$9 @ 75.0¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-25?Won
Yes$100 @ 47.0¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesLost
Colorado Rockies$1 @ 10.0¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesWon
Los Angeles Dodgers$25 @ 74.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
No$1 @ 90.0¢
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lost
Rockets$111 @ 53.0¢
EC Bahia vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$1 @ 51.0¢
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)Lost
Celtics$100 @ 50.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?Won
Yes$50 @ 69.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$198 @ 69.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$13 @ 19.1¢
Will Lee Jung-hyun win the 2026 Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election?Won
No$3 @ 74.9¢
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?Won
No$200 @ 59.0¢
Hornets vs. MagicLost
Hornets$100 @ 18.0¢
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$100 @ 52.0¢
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?Lost
Yes$50 @ 11.0¢
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group StageWon
Phantom$10 @ 74.5¢
LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba - Game 3 WinnerLost
eSuba$3 @ 15.3¢
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper RuudLost
Jenson Brooksby$100 @ 15.0¢
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$34 @ 42.2¢
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Won
Under$25 @ 17.0¢
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-09?Lost
Yes$6 @ 13.6¢
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Lost
Nuggets$100 @ 50.0¢
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$100 @ 54.0¢
Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$25 @ 50.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
No$200 @ 86.9¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$700 @ 84.2¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?Won
Yes$100 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?Won
No$5 @ 58.9¢
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Lost
Over$100 @ 50.0¢
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-13?Lost
No$1 @ 82.0¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva JovicLost
Iva Jovic$50 @ 42.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Won
No$22 @ 84.2¢
Falkirk FC vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$25 @ 37.0¢
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Lost
Raptors$100 @ 51.0¢
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Won
Thunder$200 @ 56.0¢
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Won
Houston Astros$50 @ 59.3¢
Will FC Dallas vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?Won
No$506 @ 55.2¢
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-10?Lost
No$45 @ 4.7¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Won
No$75 @ 87.0¢
Bengaluru 2: Kokoro Isomura vs Karan SinghWon
Kokoro Isomura$100 @ 34.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$75 @ 83.0¢
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-09?Won
No$25 @ 52.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11?Won
No$1 @ 71.0¢
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?Lost
No$13 @ 9.0¢
LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 WinnerWon
Misa Esports$4 @ 86.0¢
Paris: Veronika Podrez vs Sloane StephensLost
Sloane Stephens$100 @ 37.0¢
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$2 @ 76.0¢
US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$42 @ 13.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$200	30.3¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	—	No	$192	69.7¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$172	63.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	—	No	$90	78.8¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	—	Yes	$75	67.0¢
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	—	Yes	$74	82.0¢
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	Politics	Yes	$74	81.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?	—	No	$61	92.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	—	No	$60	83.4¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$16	10.2¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$6	73.2¢
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?	Politics	Yes	$4	73.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1	80.0¢

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$200 @ 30.3¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?—
No$192 @ 69.7¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$172 @ 63.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?—
No$90 @ 78.8¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?—
Yes$75 @ 67.0¢
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?—
Yes$74 @ 82.0¢
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics
Yes$74 @ 81.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?—
No$61 @ 92.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?—
No$60 @ 83.4¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$16 @ 10.2¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$6 @ 73.2¢
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics
Yes$4 @ 73.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 80.0¢