← Smart money
0xce83…5b97
SharpEdge
+14.0pp
ROI
+18%
Win rate
90% @ 76.0¢
Brier
0.080
Resolved
179
Avg size
$261
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 80% (37/46) | +12% | 46 |
| Crypto | 94% (15/16) | +22% | 16 |
| Politics | 93% (13/14) | +25% | 14 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (4/4) | +43% | 4 |
| Sports | 67% (2/3) | -23% | 3 |
| Tech | 100% (2/2) | +46% | 2 |
- Other46 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (37/46)
- ROI
- +12%
- Crypto16 bets
- Hit rate
- 94% (15/16)
- ROI
- +22%
- Politics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 93% (13/14)
- ROI
- +25%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (4/4)
- ROI
- +43%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- -23%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +46%
Track record
86% hit · 73/85- No$250 @ 81.0¢
- No$365 @ 73.0¢
- No$150 @ 72.0¢
- No$604 @ 79.1¢
- No$200 @ 79.6¢
- No$1.0k @ 84.5¢
- No$200 @ 75.7¢
- No$200 @ 33.7¢
- No$300 @ 83.0¢
- No$31 @ 82.0¢
- No$3.6k @ 77.1¢
- No$818 @ 84.5¢
- No$918 @ 70.2¢
- No$200 @ 56.6¢
- No$200 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$103 @ 32.0¢
- No$550 @ 86.0¢
- No$470 @ 78.0¢
- No$201 @ 59.1¢
- Yes$483 @ 89.0¢
- No$608 @ 62.6¢
- No$250 @ 84.0¢
- No$800 @ 68.5¢
- No$312 @ 83.0¢
- No$785 @ 73.4¢
- No$202 @ 79.0¢
- No$4.0k @ 78.1¢
- No$201 @ 63.9¢
- Yes$303 @ 77.0¢
- No$300 @ 61.0¢
- No$300 @ 83.0¢
- No$253 @ 84.3¢
- Yes$203 @ 59.0¢
- No$610 @ 76.2¢
- No$200 @ 82.8¢
- No$200 @ 89.4¢
- No$478 @ 73.9¢
- No$500 @ 78.3¢
- No$300 @ 34.1¢
- No$104 @ 29.0¢
- No$47 @ 67.1¢
- No$305 @ 74.1¢
- No$1.9k @ 84.5¢
- No$200 @ 77.0¢
- No$303 @ 78.6¢
- No$200 @ 81.0¢
- No$422 @ 60.0¢
- No$914 @ 60.9¢
- No$600 @ 64.5¢
- No$300 @ 88.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$3.5k @ 86.0¢
- No$2.9k @ 88.2¢
- No$1.8k @ 70.5¢
- No$1.5k @ 83.1¢
- No$1.2k @ 81.1¢
- No$1000 @ 80.9¢
- Yes$781 @ 83.9¢
- No$656 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$600 @ 80.0¢
- No$600 @ 76.2¢
- Kash Patel out by June 30?PoliticsNo$500 @ 62.6¢
- No$433 @ 92.8¢
- No$420 @ 84.0¢
- No$416 @ 83.3¢
- No$400 @ 79.2¢
- Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30?GeopoliticsNo$339 @ 84.2¢
- No$300 @ 74.1¢
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$300 @ 69.3¢
- Yes$300 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$241 @ 82.0¢
- No$200 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$200 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$200 @ 72.0¢
- No$200 @ 88.9¢
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?GeopoliticsNo$200 @ 75.7¢
- Yes$200 @ 79.5¢
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$200 @ 70.0¢
- No$200 @ 56.6¢
- No$199 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$170 @ 56.0¢