0x490e…123a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x490e59912217dc88940c4f879115d67cd65a123a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.1pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

44% @ 38.1¢

Brier

0.152

Resolved

472

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	46% (151/329)	+29%	329
Sports	46% (33/71)	+2%	71
Science	5% (2/40)	-45%	40
Politics	45% (15/33)	-32%	33
Crypto	56% (5/9)	-2%	9
Tech	63% (5/8)	+11%	8
Geopolitics	100% (5/5)	+48%	5
Economy	100% (2/2)	+84%	2

Other329 bets
Hit rate
46% (151/329)
ROI
+29%
Sports71 bets
Hit rate
46% (33/71)
ROI
+2%
Science40 bets
Hit rate
5% (2/40)
ROI
-45%
Politics33 bets
Hit rate
45% (15/33)
ROI
-32%
Crypto9 bets
Hit rate
56% (5/9)
ROI
-2%
Tech8 bets
Hit rate
63% (5/8)
ROI
+11%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+48%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+84%

Track record

44% hit · 218/497

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?	No	$22	72.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?	Yes	$15	43.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or below on June 18?	Yes	$3	7.6¢	Lost
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	No	$5	44.0¢	Lost
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	$3	28.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 17?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 23?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$2	8.9¢	Lost
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell	Kimberly Birrell	$25	45.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?	Yes	$1	29.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Egypt?	No	$7	85.0¢	Won
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$24	38.2¢	Won
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	No	$23	10.0¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5	Under	$5	37.9¢	Lost
Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	$13	17.0¢	Lost
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$9	3.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 16?	Yes	$4	9.7¢	Lost
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$3	27.4¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?	No	$7	82.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 15?	Yes	$7	17.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?	Yes	$3	6.1¢	Lost
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	$1	9.6¢	Lost
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?	No	$19	39.3¢	Lost
Spread: Germany (-4.5)	Germany	$9	33.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner	KOLESIE	$15	36.9¢	Lost
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5	Over	$6	23.0¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5	Under	$4	10.3¢	Won
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)	Egypt	$10	78.0¢	Won
ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon	Nadia Podoroska	$29	31.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 15?	Yes	$0	1.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 106-107°F on July 2?	Yes	$0	3.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?	Yes	$14	21.6¢	Won
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	$4	24.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or higher on September 10?	Yes	$4	8.0¢	Lost
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	No	$5	18.3¢	Lost
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)	Bosnia and Herzegovina	$5	38.8¢	Lost
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)	Switzerland	$3	17.7¢	Won
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$5	15.0¢	Lost
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?	No	$3	72.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 17?	Yes	$2	6.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	$39	83.7¢	Won
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Lost
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	$27	53.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 17?	Yes	$2	7.8¢	Lost
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	$6	88.0¢	Won
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Yes	$7	27.0¢	Won
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5	Over	$38	63.0¢	Won
Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	$1	9.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on June 15?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	$73	87.6¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?Won
No$22 @ 72.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?Lost
Yes$15 @ 43.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or below on June 18?Lost
Yes$3 @ 7.6¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Lost
No$5 @ 44.0¢
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Won
Yes$3 @ 28.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 23?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 8.9¢
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly BirrellLost
Kimberly Birrell$25 @ 45.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 29.0¢
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Egypt?Won
No$7 @ 85.0¢
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$24 @ 38.2¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$23 @ 10.0¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$5 @ 37.9¢
Portugal leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$13 @ 17.0¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$9 @ 3.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 16?Lost
Yes$4 @ 9.7¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Won
Yes$3 @ 27.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?Lost
No$7 @ 82.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 15?Lost
Yes$7 @ 17.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?Lost
Yes$3 @ 6.1¢
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.6¢
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?Lost
No$19 @ 39.3¢
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Won
Germany$9 @ 33.0¢
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 WinnerLost
KOLESIE$15 @ 36.9¢
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$6 @ 23.0¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Won
Under$4 @ 10.3¢
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Won
Egypt$10 @ 78.0¢
ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Lucciana Perez AlarconWon
Nadia Podoroska$29 @ 31.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 106-107°F on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?Won
Yes$14 @ 21.6¢
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Lost
Yes$4 @ 24.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or higher on September 10?Lost
Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Lost
No$5 @ 18.3¢
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Lost
Bosnia and Herzegovina$5 @ 38.8¢
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Won
Switzerland$3 @ 17.7¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?Won
No$3 @ 72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Won
No$39 @ 83.7¢
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Lost
Yes$27 @ 53.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 7.8¢
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Won
Yes$6 @ 88.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Won
Yes$7 @ 27.0¢
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5Won
Over$38 @ 63.0¢
Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on June 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Won
No$73 @ 87.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Solana dip to $90 in September?	—	No	$15	86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 17?	—	No	$9	43.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 18?	—	Yes	$5	23.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 17?	—	Yes	$2	68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on September 17?	—	Yes	$2	1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 18?	—	Yes	$1	5.0¢

Will Solana dip to $90 in September?—
No$15 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 17?—
No$9 @ 43.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 18?—
Yes$5 @ 23.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 17?—
Yes$2 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on September 17?—
Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 18?—
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢