← Smart money
0xc390…2a1f
SharpROI
+60%
Win rate
20%
Brier
0.138
Resolved
400
Avg size
$44
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
0% hit · 0/1| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | $19 | 77.0¢ | Lost |
- Yes$19 @ 77.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$5.1k @ 49.2¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 50.2¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 37.1¢
- Yes$632 @ 46.8¢
- Yes$470 @ 26.2¢
- Yes$423 @ 42.6¢
- Yes$330 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$164 @ 18.3¢
- Yes$147 @ 18.4¢
- Yes$122 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$93 @ 18.2¢
- Yes$83 @ 27.7¢
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?GeopoliticsYes$61 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$59 @ 4.9¢
- Yes$54 @ 9.0¢
- No$52 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$44 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$40 @ 38.8¢
- Yes$34 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$33 @ 16.6¢
- Yes$26 @ 26.4¢
- Yes$20 @ 52.0¢
- Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsNo$10 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 54.0¢
- No$5 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 36.0¢