0xe54b…aa14

Specialization by sphere

• Other18 bets

  Hit rate

  94% (17/18)

  ROI

  +35%

• Geopolitics13 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (13/13)

  ROI

  +25%

• Politics9 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (9/9)

  ROI

  +16%

• Tech2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +32%

• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Won
  Yes$7.0k @ 68.9¢
• Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?Won
  No$2.2k @ 87.8¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Won
  No$74 @ 85.9¢
• Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$52 @ 86.0¢
• Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?Won
  No$121 @ 89.7¢
• Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?Won
  No$324 @ 82.5¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
  Yes$1.8k @ 60.8¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Won
  No$70 @ 70.0¢
• Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" today?Won
  No$7 @ 69.0¢
• US strikes Iraq by February 28?Won
  Yes$179 @ 36.7¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?Won
  Yes$234 @ 85.6¢
• Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?Won
  No$3.5k @ 86.5¢
• US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Won
  Yes$54 @ 53.8¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
  No$476 @ 84.0¢
• Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
  Yes$1.3k @ 74.7¢
• Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?Won
  No$191 @ 88.0¢
• Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?Won
  No$50 @ 82.5¢
• Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Won
  Yes$18 @ 85.0¢
• Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?Won
  No$40 @ 75.2¢
• Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$534 @ 84.5¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Won
  No$6.3k @ 86.5¢
• Another Elon baby by June 30?Won
  No$55 @ 88.0¢
• Will Qatar send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$81 @ 87.3¢
• Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?Won
  No$45 @ 79.6¢
• US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Won
  No$127 @ 89.8¢
• Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Won
  Yes$117 @ 83.0¢
• Epstein client list released by June 30?Won
  No$104 @ 83.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Won
  No$42 @ 86.6¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Won
  No$77 @ 89.0¢
• Will Trump say "Six Seven" in April?Lost
  No$141 @ 71.2¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?Won
  No$491 @ 39.0¢
• Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?Won
  Yes$470 @ 87.2¢
• Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$307 @ 84.0¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Won
  No$168 @ 84.0¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Won
  No$630 @ 83.6¢
• Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?Won
  No$1.3k @ 75.3¢
• Israel military action against Yemen by August 31?Won
  No$21 @ 88.0¢
• Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
  No$2.0k @ 83.8¢
• Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$60 @ 87.2¢
• Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?Won
  No$675 @ 89.8¢
• Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Won
  Yes$430 @ 74.1¢
• Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?Won
  No$553 @ 82.4¢

Current positions

• Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$6.5k @ 95.0¢
• Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$5.7k @ 93.0¢
• Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Politics
  No$5.2k @ 84.8¢
• Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$2.9k @ 86.7¢
• Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$1.3k @ 90.4¢
• Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$1.2k @ 96.2¢
• Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$143 @ 80.5¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Politics
  No$128 @ 90.2¢
• Israel military action against Iraq by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$97 @ 88.4¢
• Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31?Politics
  No$94 @ 90.3¢
• US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Geopolitics
  No$54 @ 96.0¢
• Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?Politics
  No$50 @ 84.0¢
• Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$32 @ 90.6¢
• France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$19 @ 97.0¢
• Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by September 30?Politics
  No$7 @ 97.8¢