GeopoliticsActiveends Oct 1, 2026

Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?

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Yes

16.0¢

No

84.0¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 4 tracked sharps

Lean

Yes 65%No 35%

Include 4 outside the consensus pool4 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x6139…6b7a	Yes	$197	21.3¢	1.5×	+4%	32%	Profitable
0xd3ec…6603	No	$67	56.8¢	0.1×	+26%	86%	Sharp
0x71ab…f015	No	$55	29.4¢	0.5×	+60%	59%	Sharp
0x17e3…9ba5	Yes	$28	5.7¢	0.0×	+24%	99%	Sharp

0x6139…6b7aProfitable

Yes$197 @ 21.3¢

Conv: 1.5×
ROI: +4%
Win%: 32%

0xd3ec…6603Sharp

No$67 @ 56.8¢

Conv: 0.1×
ROI: +26%
Win%: 86%

0x71ab…f015Sharp

No$55 @ 29.4¢

Conv: 0.5×
ROI: +60%
Win%: 59%

0x17e3…9ba5Sharp

Yes$28 @ 5.7¢

Conv: 0.0×
ROI: +24%
Win%: 99%