0x6fa7…907e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.4pp

ROI

+39%

Win rate

52% @ 37.7¢

Brier

0.130

Resolved

190

Avg size

$65

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Economy	74% (20/27)	+57%	27
Other	35% (7/20)	+66%	20
Politics	40% (4/10)	+24%	10
Sports	67% (4/6)	+19%	6
Science	67% (4/6)	+39%	6
Culture	67% (2/3)	+25%	3
Tech	50% (1/2)	+11%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Business	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Economy27 bets
Hit rate
74% (20/27)
ROI
+57%
Other20 bets
Hit rate
35% (7/20)
ROI
+66%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
ROI
+24%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
ROI
+19%
Science6 bets
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
ROI
+39%
Culture3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+25%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+11%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

55% hit · 42/77

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	Yes	$999	99.9¢	Won
Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?	No	$15	15.0¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.29% in October?	Yes	$59	97.9¢	Won
Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	Yes	$212	99.3¢	Won
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	$5	75.0¢	Won
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	$41	37.4¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September?	Yes	$34	48.3¢	Won
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?	Yes	$45	27.5¢	Won
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$207	30.1¢	Won
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$16	51.0¢	Lost
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?	M	$86	88.0¢	Won
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?	SD	$77	77.0¢	Lost
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?	Yes	$561	52.3¢	Lost
Will General Mills say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call?	No	$7	4.8¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Bully" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	$30	53.0¢	Lost
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in September?	Yes	$169	61.1¢	Won
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Smith & Wesson (SWBI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$64	63.0¢	Won
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?	Yes	$194	67.1¢	Won
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	No	$6	5.6¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	$5	83.3¢	Won
Tropical Storm Fay strengthens to a hurricane?	Yes	$3	10.0¢	Lost
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?	Yes	$137	35.9¢	Won
Will Trump say "Team" 15+ times during Team USA reception?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.42% in September?	Yes	$97	40.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Dancing in the Street" in September?	Yes	$317	79.9¢	Won
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $462,000 and $470,000 on September 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in September?	No	$31	76.0¢	Won
Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$3	52.0¢	Lost
Will M80 Win the iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN?	No	$14	71.0¢	Won
Will M80 Win the iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN?	Yes	$3	29.0¢	Lost
Will General Mills say "Protein" during earnings call?	No	$0	7.0¢	Lost
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 102 km/h or above in September?	No	$330	68.5¢	Won
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 102 km/h or above in September?	Yes	$87	13.3¢	Lost
OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 26?	No	$0	9.0¢	Lost
OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 26?	Yes	$101	89.9¢	Won
North American Cup T20I: Cayman Islands vs Bermuda	Cayman Islands	$317	85.6¢	Won
Will Sydney Johnson win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	Yes	$20	4.7¢	Lost
Will the highest wind gust at Boston Logan be 45 kt or more?	Yes	$48	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest wind gust at Boston Logan be 50 kt or more?	Yes	$263	55.9¢	Won
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 60k and 70k?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 90 to 101 km/h in September?	Yes	$324	70.6¢	Won
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	Yes	$2.0k	62.8¢	Won
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.24% in September?	No	$1	52.0¢	Won
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30?	Yes	$15	4.3¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?	No	$80	32.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Japan" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	$68	33.0¢	Won
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September?	Yes	$179	76.9¢	Won
Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive Price Over/Under $182.61 on September 30?	Under	$445	84.1¢	Won
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?	Yes	$64	81.1¢	Won

Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?Won
Yes$999 @ 99.9¢
Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?Lost
No$15 @ 15.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.29% in October?Won
Yes$59 @ 97.9¢
Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?Won
Yes$212 @ 99.3¢
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Won
Yes$5 @ 75.0¢
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Lost
Yes$41 @ 37.4¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September?Won
Yes$34 @ 48.3¢
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?Won
Yes$45 @ 27.5¢
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?Won
No$207 @ 30.1¢
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
Yes$16 @ 51.0¢
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?Won
M$86 @ 88.0¢
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?Lost
SD$77 @ 77.0¢
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?Lost
Yes$561 @ 52.3¢
Will General Mills say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call?Lost
No$7 @ 4.8¢
Will Trump say "Bully" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Lost
No$30 @ 53.0¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in September?Won
Yes$169 @ 61.1¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Smith & Wesson (SWBI) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$64 @ 63.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?Won
Yes$194 @ 67.1¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?Lost
No$6 @ 5.6¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?Won
Yes$5 @ 83.3¢
Tropical Storm Fay strengthens to a hurricane?Lost
Yes$3 @ 10.0¢
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?Won
Yes$137 @ 35.9¢
Will Trump say "Team" 15+ times during Team USA reception?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.42% in September?Won
Yes$97 @ 40.0¢
Will Trump say "Dancing in the Street" in September?Won
Yes$317 @ 79.9¢
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $462,000 and $470,000 on September 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in September?Won
No$31 @ 76.0¢
Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
No$3 @ 52.0¢
Will M80 Win the iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN?Won
No$14 @ 71.0¢
Will M80 Win the iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN?Lost
Yes$3 @ 29.0¢
Will General Mills say "Protein" during earnings call?Lost
No$0 @ 7.0¢
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 102 km/h or above in September?Won
No$330 @ 68.5¢
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 102 km/h or above in September?Lost
Yes$87 @ 13.3¢
OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 26?Lost
No$0 @ 9.0¢
OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 26?Won
Yes$101 @ 89.9¢
North American Cup T20I: Cayman Islands vs BermudaWon
Cayman Islands$317 @ 85.6¢
Will Sydney Johnson win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?Lost
Yes$20 @ 4.7¢
Will the highest wind gust at Boston Logan be 45 kt or more?Won
Yes$48 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest wind gust at Boston Logan be 50 kt or more?Won
Yes$263 @ 55.9¢
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 60k and 70k?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 90 to 101 km/h in September?Won
Yes$324 @ 70.6¢
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 62.8¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.24% in September?Won
No$1 @ 52.0¢
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30?Lost
Yes$15 @ 4.3¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$80 @ 32.0¢
Will Trump say "Japan" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Won
No$68 @ 33.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September?Won
Yes$179 @ 76.9¢
Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive Price Over/Under $182.61 on September 30?Won
Under$445 @ 84.1¢
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?Won
Yes$64 @ 81.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	No	$6.0k	50.0¢
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$6.0k	50.0¢
Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)	Sports	METANOIA WOLVES	$1.6k	24.2¢
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	Sports	Yes	$999	99.9¢
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 116m by October 31?	Culture	No	$534	95.8¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?	Economy	Yes	$338	54.9¢
Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Economy	No	$248	85.0¢
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $519,000 and $521,000 on December 31?	Economy	No	$166	77.1¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	Economy	Yes	$153	79.9¢
Will Nolo peak at Category 5?	Science	No	$125	98.8¢
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$92	92.0¢
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Economy	Yes	$87	37.0¢
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	Economy	Yes	$67	50.0¢
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?	Economy	Yes	$61	27.0¢
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?	Culture	Yes	$46	5.5¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$20	39.6¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	Economy	Yes	$16	11.2¢
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 113m by October 31?	Culture	No	$11	81.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$8	4.2¢
Will Nolo peak at Category 3?	Science	No	$5	95.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$5	46.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	43.0¢
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $417,000 and $427,000 on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$0	4.0¢
Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?	Politics	No	$0	0.1¢

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
No$6.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$6.0k @ 50.0¢
Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)Sports
METANOIA WOLVES$1.6k @ 24.2¢
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?Sports
Yes$999 @ 99.9¢
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 116m by October 31?Culture
No$534 @ 95.8¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?Economy
Yes$338 @ 54.9¢
Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Economy
No$248 @ 85.0¢
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $519,000 and $521,000 on December 31?Economy
No$166 @ 77.1¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Economy
Yes$153 @ 79.9¢
Will Nolo peak at Category 5?Science
No$125 @ 98.8¢
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech
No$92 @ 92.0¢
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Economy
Yes$87 @ 37.0¢
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Economy
Yes$67 @ 50.0¢
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?Economy
Yes$61 @ 27.0¢
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?Culture
Yes$46 @ 5.5¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$20 @ 39.6¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?Economy
Yes$16 @ 11.2¢
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 113m by October 31?Culture
No$11 @ 81.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$8 @ 4.2¢
Will Nolo peak at Category 3?Science
No$5 @ 95.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$5 @ 46.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 43.0¢
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $417,000 and $427,000 on December 31?Economy
Yes$0 @ 4.0¢
Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?Politics
No$0 @ 0.1¢