← Market consensus

PoliticsActiveends Dec 9, 2026

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

35.1¢

No

64.9¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 3 tracked sharps

Strong

Yes 97%No 3%

3 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x3a8a…7699	Yes	$321	31.6¢	0.7×	+39%	99%	Sharp
0x09fe…76ee	No	$9	97.7¢	0.3×	+18%	78%	Sharp
0x474a…c816	Yes	$1	6.9¢	0.3×	+226%	46%	Profitable

0x3a8a…7699Sharp

Yes$321 @ 31.6¢

Conv: 0.7×
ROI: +39%
Win%: 99%

0x09fe…76eeSharp

No$9 @ 97.7¢

Conv: 0.3×
ROI: +18%
Win%: 78%

0x474a…c816Profitable

Yes$1 @ 6.9¢

Conv: 0.3×
ROI: +226%
Win%: 46%