← Market consensus
PoliticsActiveends Dec 9, 2026

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

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Yes

35.1¢

No

64.9¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢ smart-money trades
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Smart money here · 4 tracked sharps

Strong
Yes 100%No 0%
4 shown ·
Yes$315 @ 38.4¢
Conv
11×
ROI
+17%
Win%
41%
Yes$20 @ 21.3¢
Conv
26×
ROI
+46%
Win%
22%
No$2 @ 92.4¢
Conv
0.1×
ROI
+25%
Win%
47%
0x474a…c816Profitable
Yes$1 @ 6.9¢
Conv
0.2×
ROI
+196%
Win%
49%