0xaafe…6edb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xaafe1ba04fb4eb55a89f8caa77b237664f1b6edb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+37.4pp

ROI

+146%

Win rate

59% @ 21.5¢

Brier

0.356

Resolved

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	17% (2/12)	+44%	12
Economy	80% (4/5)	+207%	5
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other12 bets
Hit rate
17% (2/12)
ROI
+44%
Economy5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
+207%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

33% hit · 6/18

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	$3	4.9¢	Lost
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	$27	27.0¢	Lost
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	$24	5.2¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	$28	16.1¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	$7	8.6¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	$247	34.0¢	Won
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?	Yes	$14	70.0¢	Won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	$7	9.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.9¢	Lost
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026?	No	$75	26.2¢	Won
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	$11	1.8¢	Lost
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$5	53.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	Yes	$10	3.6¢	Lost
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	$10	10.3¢	Won
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?	No	$9	9.6¢	Lost
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.20 Week of October 12 2026?	No	$7	0.5¢	Lost
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 12 2026?	No	$96	27.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of October 19 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 4.9¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of October 19 2026?Lost
Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of October 19 2026?Lost
Yes$24 @ 5.2¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Won
Yes$28 @ 16.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Lost
Yes$7 @ 8.6¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?Won
Yes$247 @ 34.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?Won
Yes$14 @ 70.0¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of September 28 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 9.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026?Won
No$75 @ 26.2¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Lost
Yes$11 @ 1.8¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Won
Yes$5 @ 53.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?Lost
Yes$10 @ 3.6¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of September 21 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 10.3¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?Lost
No$9 @ 9.6¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.20 Week of October 12 2026?Lost
No$7 @ 0.5¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 12 2026?Lost
No$96 @ 27.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$86	17.3¢
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$50	7.7¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	Economy	Yes	$4	7.6¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	Economy	Yes	$2	21.1¢

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics
Yes$86 @ 17.3¢
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?Politics
Yes$50 @ 7.7¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?Economy
Yes$4 @ 7.6¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Economy
Yes$2 @ 21.1¢