PoliticsResolvedends Nov 4, 2026

Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?

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Yes

0.0¢

No

100.0¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 4 tracked sharps

Include 3 outside the consensus pool4 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x4060…3ec3	Yes	$3.9k	32.4¢	10×	+34%	29%	Sharp
0x60a9…5a71	No	$3.9k	67.0¢	9.3×	+11%	42%	Sharp
0x9648…6825	Yes	$857	31.3¢	4.0×	+41%	39%	Sharp
0xfd39…9ec8	Yes	$159	31.8¢	5.1×	+8%	44%	Sharp

0x4060…3ec3Sharp

Yes$3.9k @ 32.4¢

Conv: 10×
ROI: +34%
Win%: 29%

0x60a9…5a71Sharp

No$3.9k @ 67.0¢

Conv: 9.3×
ROI: +11%
Win%: 42%

0x9648…6825Sharp

Yes$857 @ 31.3¢

Conv: 4.0×
ROI: +41%
Win%: 39%

0xfd39…9ec8Sharp

Yes$159 @ 31.8¢

Conv: 5.1×
ROI: +8%
Win%: 44%