← Smart money
0x60a9…5a71
SharpEdge
+2.6pp
ROI
+12%
Win rate
43% @ 40.9¢
Brier
0.179
Resolved
3086
Avg size
$428
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 43% (107/248) | +10% | 248 |
| Other | 47% (40/86) | +20% | 86 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (26/52) | +25% | 52 |
| Tech | 33% (1/3) | +10% | 3 |
| Sports | 50% (1/2) | +136% | 2 |
| Culture | 100% (2/2) | +19% | 2 |
| Science | 100% (1/1) | +29% | 1 |
- Politics248 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (107/248)
- ROI
- +10%
- Other86 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (40/86)
- ROI
- +20%
- Geopolitics52 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (26/52)
- ROI
- +25%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +10%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +136%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +19%
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +29%
Track record
45% hit · 178/394- Yes$99 @ 35.5¢
- No$106 @ 61.5¢
- No$15.6k @ 52.5¢
- Yes$3.6k @ 32.5¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 46.1¢
- No$200 @ 48.0¢
- No$726 @ 88.0¢
- No$898 @ 19.8¢
- No$340 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$130 @ 6.9¢
- No$4.3k @ 83.4¢
- No$267 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$12.2k @ 27.3¢
- Yes$13 @ 5.1¢
- Yes$902 @ 73.0¢
- No$4.0k @ 42.2¢
- Yes$4.7k @ 75.1¢
- No$4.1k @ 74.9¢
- Yes$30 @ 10.0¢
- No$3.2k @ 58.7¢
- Yes$720 @ 36.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 6.7¢
- No$812 @ 18.1¢
- Yes$4.4k @ 86.0¢
- No$2.1k @ 40.3¢
- Yes$4.0k @ 19.3¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 3.8¢
- No$1.2k @ 87.6¢
- No$2.5k @ 83.9¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 12.9¢
- Yes$25 @ 10.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
- No$651 @ 59.6¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 34.0¢
- No$5.3k @ 77.9¢
- Yes$16 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 17.6¢
- No$1.9k @ 12.4¢
- No$1.3k @ 37.8¢
- Yes$360 @ 2.3¢
- No$846 @ 75.5¢
- No$3.1k @ 72.2¢
- Yes$8.7k @ 29.3¢
- Yes$18 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 40.2¢
- Yes$22 @ 15.0¢
- No$1.9k @ 83.6¢
- Yes$520 @ 19.4¢
- No$938 @ 85.9¢
- No$8.4k @ 82.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$8.1k @ 69.3¢
- No$7.6k @ 38.0¢
- Iran full airspace closure by September 30?GeopoliticsNo$6.9k @ 92.7¢
- No$6.4k @ 89.1¢
- Yes$6.2k @ 91.0¢
- No$5.5k @ 60.1¢
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$4.1k @ 86.1¢
- No$3.4k @ 59.6¢
- No$3.3k @ 53.9¢
- No$2.5k @ 46.5¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 66.0¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 80.4¢
- No$2.3k @ 79.2¢
- No$2.2k @ 64.8¢
- No$2.2k @ 82.9¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 46.8¢
- No$1.9k @ 90.8¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 25.7¢
- No$1.7k @ 92.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 25.3¢
- No$1.5k @ 82.4¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 53.1¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 17.9¢
- No$1.3k @ 95.7¢
- No$1.3k @ 28.1¢
- No$1.3k @ 84.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 74.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 66.1¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 57.6¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 80.2¢