0x4060…3ec3

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x40604cb1f958c03bea0b18aa43e4cb0d62f33ec3
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-21.0pp

ROI

+34%

Win rate

29% @ 50.3¢

Brier

0.151

Resolved

549

Avg size

$377

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	81% (192/236)	+10%	236
Politics	64% (7/11)	+5%	11
Sports	60% (3/5)	+0%	5
Crypto	50% (2/4)	+6%	4
Business	100% (2/2)	+22%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+0%	1
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+5%	1

Other236 bets
Hit rate
81% (192/236)
ROI
+10%
Politics11 bets
Hit rate
64% (7/11)
ROI
+5%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
+0%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+6%
Business2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+22%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+0%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+5%

Track record

80% hit · 208/260

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 14 2026?	No	$99	99.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?	No	$518	68.5¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	$418	29.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	$24.8k	95.1¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 4?	No	$236	57.0¢	Won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 in May?	No	$1.3k	95.0¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	$4.7k	99.9¢	Won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	No	$25.7k	79.0¢	Won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	Yes	$17	29.1¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	$11.9k	99.7¢	Won
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	$826	59.0¢	Won
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	$531	63.9¢	Won
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	$474	66.5¢	Won
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	$222	31.1¢	Lost
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	$841	98.6¢	Won
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	$7.5k	62.5¢	Won
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	$445	31.8¢	Lost
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	$458	97.0¢	Won
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	$3.9k	32.4¢	Lost
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	$280	33.8¢	Lost
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	$6.6k	94.4¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,000 in November?	Yes	$70	64.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?	Yes	$1.5k	99.9¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?	Yes	$426	99.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of October 26 2026?	No	$4	63.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	$903	98.5¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	$1.2k	95.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No	$229	99.7¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	$2.4k	87.8¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	No	$1.5k	96.7¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	No	$2.0k	82.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	Yes	$924	75.6¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	$249	83.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	$168	38.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	$41	67.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	$2.3k	81.4¢	Lost
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in October?	No	$520	89.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	No	$510	98.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	No	$876	99.5¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	$1.5k	64.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	No	$85	77.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	$283	23.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	$1.9k	99.2¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 26 2026?	No	$1.1k	94.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	$2.1k	80.1¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 26 2026?	No	$16	82.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	No	$455	47.6¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	No	$293	67.7¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in October?	No	$987	98.7¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?	No	$676	98.5¢	Won

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 14 2026?Won
No$99 @ 99.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?Won
No$518 @ 68.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?Lost
Yes$418 @ 29.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Won
No$24.8k @ 95.1¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 4?Won
No$236 @ 57.0¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 in May?Won
No$1.3k @ 95.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?Won
No$4.7k @ 99.9¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?Won
No$25.7k @ 79.0¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?Lost
Yes$17 @ 29.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?Won
No$11.9k @ 99.7¢
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Won
Yes$826 @ 59.0¢
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Won
Yes$531 @ 63.9¢
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Won
Yes$474 @ 66.5¢
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Lost
Yes$222 @ 31.1¢
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Won
No$841 @ 98.6¢
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Won
Yes$7.5k @ 62.5¢
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Lost
Yes$445 @ 31.8¢
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Won
No$458 @ 97.0¢
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Lost
Yes$3.9k @ 32.4¢
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Lost
Yes$280 @ 33.8¢
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Won
No$6.6k @ 94.4¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,000 in November?Won
Yes$70 @ 64.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 99.9¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?Lost
Yes$426 @ 99.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of October 26 2026?Won
No$4 @ 63.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?Won
No$903 @ 98.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?Won
No$1.2k @ 95.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?Won
No$229 @ 99.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Won
No$2.4k @ 87.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?Won
No$1.5k @ 96.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?Won
No$2.0k @ 82.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?Lost
Yes$924 @ 75.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?Won
No$249 @ 83.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Won
No$168 @ 38.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Lost
Yes$41 @ 67.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Lost
No$2.3k @ 81.4¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in October?Won
No$520 @ 89.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?Won
No$510 @ 98.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?Won
No$876 @ 99.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?Won
No$1.5k @ 64.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?Won
No$85 @ 77.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?Lost
Yes$283 @ 23.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?Won
No$1.9k @ 99.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 26 2026?Won
No$1.1k @ 94.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?Won
No$2.1k @ 80.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 26 2026?Won
No$16 @ 82.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?Lost
No$455 @ 47.6¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?Won
No$293 @ 67.7¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in October?Won
No$987 @ 98.7¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?Won
No$676 @ 98.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$18.1k	87.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Other	No	$12.4k	33.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Other	No	$6.3k	39.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	Other	No	$4.3k	90.0¢
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	Politics	Yes	$3.9k	32.4¢
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Politics	Yes	$2.3k	31.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Other	No	$2.1k	78.9¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in November?	Other	No	$2.0k	95.0¢
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Other	No	$1.8k	87.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.6k	99.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?	Other	No	$974	51.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	Other	No	$916	93.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November?	Other	No	$720	72.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$671	88.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	Other	No	$649	88.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$634	93.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?	Other	Yes	$286	99.0¢
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Politics	Yes	$280	33.8¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$250	33.3¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$134	72.4¢
Solana Up or Down on October 28?	—	Down	$60	4.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 Week of October 26 2026?	Other	No	$4	1.0¢

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolitics
No$18.1k @ 87.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?Other
No$12.4k @ 33.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Other
No$6.3k @ 39.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?Other
No$4.3k @ 90.0¢
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Politics
Yes$3.9k @ 32.4¢
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Politics
Yes$2.3k @ 31.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?Other
No$2.1k @ 78.9¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in November?Other
No$2.0k @ 95.0¢
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?Other
No$1.8k @ 87.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$1.6k @ 99.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?Other
No$974 @ 51.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?Other
No$916 @ 93.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November?Other
No$720 @ 72.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$671 @ 88.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?Other
No$649 @ 88.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$634 @ 93.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?Other
Yes$286 @ 99.0¢
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Politics
Yes$280 @ 33.8¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$250 @ 33.3¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$134 @ 72.4¢
Solana Up or Down on October 28?—
Down$60 @ 4.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 Week of October 26 2026?Other
No$4 @ 1.0¢