PoliticsActiveends Oct 1, 2026

Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?

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Yes

0.9¢

No

99.1¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 4 tracked sharps

Include 1 outside the consensus pool4 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x178d…74ed	No	$530	99.9¢	1.7×	+52%	58%	Sharp
0xf9b0…a817	No	$61	91.8¢	3.3×	+55%	33%	Sharp
0x1963…9bfd	Yes	$43	8.0¢	2.9×	+111%	8%	Sharp
0x300c…6a92	No	$19	93.0¢	0.6×	+12%	42%	Sharp

0x178d…74edSharp

No$530 @ 99.9¢

Conv: 1.7×
ROI: +52%
Win%: 58%

0xf9b0…a817Sharp

No$61 @ 91.8¢

Conv: 3.3×
ROI: +55%
Win%: 33%

0x1963…9bfdSharp

Yes$43 @ 8.0¢

Conv: 2.9×
ROI: +111%
Win%: 8%

0x300c…6a92Sharp

No$19 @ 93.0¢

Conv: 0.6×
ROI: +12%
Win%: 42%