PoliticsActiveends Nov 4, 2026

Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

1.6¢

No

98.5¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 5 tracked sharps

Strong

No 99%Yes 1%

Include 1 outside the consensus pool5 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x1359…092e	No	$2.5k	96.4¢	6.9×	+21%	98%	Sharp
0x819d…07f1	No	$485	97.0¢	7.3×	+35%	51%	Sharp
0xc5bd…ceaa	No	$79	97.0¢	2.2×	+21%	49%	Sharp
0xca97…5409	No	$37	97.0¢	1.5×	+22%	52%	Sharp
0x1971…9afd	Yes	$32	2.5¢	0.3×	+34%	58%	Sharp

0x1359…092eSharp

No$2.5k @ 96.4¢

Conv: 6.9×
ROI: +21%
Win%: 98%

0x819d…07f1Sharp

No$485 @ 97.0¢

Conv: 7.3×
ROI: +35%
Win%: 51%

0xc5bd…ceaaSharp

No$79 @ 97.0¢

Conv: 2.2×
ROI: +21%
Win%: 49%

0xca97…5409Sharp

No$37 @ 97.0¢

Conv: 1.5×
ROI: +22%
Win%: 52%

0x1971…9afdSharp

Yes$32 @ 2.5¢

Conv: 0.3×
ROI: +34%
Win%: 58%