← Smart money
0x1359…092e
SharpEdge
+15.5pp
ROI
+16%
Win rate
96% @ 80.6¢
Brier
0.044
Resolved
128
Avg size
$268
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 86% (6/7) | +15% | 7 |
| Other | 100% (1/1) | +19% | 1 |
- Politics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 86% (6/7)
- ROI
- +15%
- Other1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +19%
Track record
88% hit · 7/8| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | Yes | $2.8k | 80.7¢ | Won |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | Yes | $1.4k | 88.4¢ | Won |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | $8.2k | 84.1¢ | Won |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | $20.3k | 87.2¢ | Won |
| Will Trump meet with Mette Frederiksen by September 30, 2026? | No | $149 | 45.7¢ | Lost |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? | Yes | $8 | 86.1¢ | Won |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | Yes | $437 | 83.3¢ | Won |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | Yes | $1.0k | 89.0¢ | Won |
- Yes$2.8k @ 80.7¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 88.4¢
- Yes$8.2k @ 84.1¢
- Yes$20.3k @ 87.2¢
- No$149 @ 45.7¢
- Yes$8 @ 86.1¢
- Yes$437 @ 83.3¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 89.0¢
Recent trades
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