0xf5e0…41a8

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf5e0b6fc06a08c1f30a16f862ad56f155b7141a8
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+47.3pp

ROI

+133%

Win rate

90% @ 42.6¢

Brier

0.308

Resolved

Avg size

$27

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Tech	80% (4/5)	+64%	5
Politics	75% (3/4)	+59%	4
Other	75% (3/4)	+4%	4
Crypto	67% (2/3)	+193%	3

Tech5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
+64%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+59%
Other4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+4%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+193%

Track record

75% hit · 12/16

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$135	21.9¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$377	49.3¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.3k	31.3¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$36	44.7¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$232	37.2¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$150	73.8¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$321	68.2¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	No	$431	94.0¢	Won
Will $ANSEM reach $0.4 before 2027?	Yes	$15	90.8¢	Won
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?	No	$12	8.6¢	Lost
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?	Yes	$86	95.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	$1	20.0¢	Won
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	Yes	$68	6.0¢	Lost
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	$348	57.0¢	Won
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$78	63.0¢	Won
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	$423	68.8¢	Won

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$135 @ 21.9¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Won
Yes$377 @ 49.3¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1.3k @ 31.3¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$36 @ 44.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$232 @ 37.2¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$150 @ 73.8¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
Yes$321 @ 68.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Won
No$431 @ 94.0¢
Will $ANSEM reach $0.4 before 2027?Won
Yes$15 @ 90.8¢
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Lost
No$12 @ 8.6¢
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Won
Yes$86 @ 95.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Won
Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Lost
Yes$68 @ 6.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Won
No$348 @ 57.0¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
Yes$78 @ 63.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Won
No$423 @ 68.8¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$713	86.9¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$658	69.8¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$533	86.6¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	No	$464	77.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	—	No	$452	61.9¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$432	72.0¢
Iran leadership change by September 30?	Politics	No	$407	89.3¢
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?	—	No	$363	84.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	—	No	$330	64.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$237	39.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	—	Yes	$137	54.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$91	44.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Politics	No	$87	59.6¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Geopolitics	No	$42	87.0¢

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$713 @ 86.9¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$658 @ 69.8¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$533 @ 86.6¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
No$464 @ 77.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?—
No$452 @ 61.9¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$432 @ 72.0¢
Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics
No$407 @ 89.3¢
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?—
No$363 @ 84.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?—
No$330 @ 64.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$237 @ 39.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?—
Yes$137 @ 54.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$91 @ 44.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics
No$87 @ 59.6¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Geopolitics
No$42 @ 87.0¢