0xcd71…d127

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other183 bets

  Hit rate

  64% (118/183)

  ROI

  +15%

• Politics60 bets

  Hit rate

  83% (50/60)

  ROI

  +7%

• Geopolitics13 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (13/13)

  ROI

  +12%

• Sports3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +3%

• Culture3 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (3/3)

  ROI

  +19%

• Crypto2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +213%

• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$15.0k @ 84.9¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
  No$4.0k @ 77.0¢
• Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Won
  No$14 @ 72.1¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Won
  No$6.9k @ 86.7¢
• Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Won
  No$2.4k @ 94.2¢
• Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Won
  No$57.2k @ 87.0¢
• Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Lost
  No$558 @ 83.5¢
• Epstein client list released in 2025?Won
  No$10.8k @ 79.2¢
• Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?Won
  No$1.3k @ 83.1¢
• Will Beef win the 2025 Internet Invitational?Won
  Yes$201 @ 85.9¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Won
  No$719 @ 80.0¢
• Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Won
  Yes$4.8k @ 67.0¢
• Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Won
  Yes$874 @ 10.0¢
• Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?Won
  No$766 @ 81.4¢
• Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Lost
  Yes$109 @ 89.0¢
• Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Lost
  No$3.7k @ 10.0¢
• Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?Lost
  No$866 @ 82.0¢
• Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)Won
  No$650 @ 89.5¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$14.0k @ 87.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1.5k @ 9.0¢
• ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Won
  No$45 @ 86.0¢
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Won
  No$12.5k @ 76.5¢
• Weed rescheduled by March 31?Won
  No$5.0k @ 84.9¢
• Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$10.0k @ 85.3¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
  Yes$2.7k @ 54.0¢
• Maduro mugshot released by January 16?Won
  No$4.3k @ 87.0¢
• Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Lost
  No$965 @ 87.7¢
• Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Lost
  Yes$640 @ 5.5¢
• Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Lost
  No$16.5k @ 64.7¢
• Will Al Gore be named in Epstein files?Won
  No$98 @ 79.0¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
  No$46.5k @ 80.6¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
  No$48.0k @ 69.3¢
• Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Won
  Yes$1.0k @ 73.5¢
• Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?Won
  No$41.1k @ 83.8¢
• Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?Won
  No$1 @ 70.0¢
• Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Won
  Yes$31.7k @ 82.4¢
• Arkansas vs. KansasWon
  Arkansas$264 @ 33.0¢
• Will John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?Lost
  No$1.5k @ 78.9¢
• Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
  No$32.5k @ 67.8¢
• Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Won
  No$49.6k @ 77.4¢
• Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?Won
  No$3.4k @ 72.1¢
• Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?Won
  Yes$19.9k @ 84.2¢
• Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Lost
  Yes$369 @ 78.0¢
• Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)Won
  No$120 @ 82.7¢
• Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Won
  Yes$24.1k @ 88.6¢
• Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Lost
  No$5.0k @ 50.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$584 @ 88.5¢
• Will Diego Pavia win the Heisman Trophy?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 4.9¢
• Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Won
  Yes$12.2k @ 36.4¢
• Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?Lost
  No$3.9k @ 79.0¢

Current positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$72.9k @ 72.9¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
  No$58.6k @ 86.6¢
• Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$48.9k @ 94.6¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics
  No$43.5k @ 75.5¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  No$31.9k @ 63.8¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  No$28.3k @ 66.0¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics
  No$24.6k @ 81.9¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
  No$16.8k @ 84.0¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
  No$15.4k @ 65.4¢
• Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$14.5k @ 29.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics
  No$13.6k @ 77.8¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$10.9k @ 54.7¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Geopolitics
  No$10.6k @ 53.0¢
• US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics
  No$8.1k @ 75.0¢
• Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Politics
  No$7.6k @ 81.7¢
• US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$6.0k @ 92.6¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$4.5k @ 90.0¢
• Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  Yes$3.7k @ 95.2¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$3.5k @ 35.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.6k @ 96.9¢
• JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 94.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Politics
  No$726 @ 95.0¢
• Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech
  No$494 @ 91.0¢
• Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Politics
  Yes$260 @ 59.9¢
• Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Culture
  No$148 @ 87.0¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$8 @ 69.4¢