← Smart money
0x8f42…b88f
SharpEdge
+6.9pp
ROI
+30%
Win rate
51% @ 44.1¢
Brier
0.152
Resolved
3615
Avg size
$504
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 54% (255/469) | +30% | 469 |
| Politics | 42% (28/67) | +34% | 67 |
| Geopolitics | 35% (6/17) | -10% | 17 |
| Sports | 40% (2/5) | +79% | 5 |
- Other469 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (255/469)
- ROI
- +30%
- Politics67 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (28/67)
- ROI
- +34%
- Geopolitics17 bets
- Hit rate
- 35% (6/17)
- ROI
- -10%
- Sports5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- +79%
Track record
52% hit · 291/558- Yes$62 @ 11.6¢
- Yes$571 @ 46.8¢
- No$2.4k @ 88.6¢
- Yes$108 @ 37.8¢
- No$12.6k @ 84.3¢
- No$2.9k @ 10.9¢
- Yes$5.0k @ 57.8¢
- No$1.9k @ 36.1¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 37.8¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 10.4¢
- Yes$64 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$48 @ 33.3¢
- No$20.5k @ 73.9¢
- No$534 @ 87.3¢
- Yes$118 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 55.0¢
- Yes$312 @ 16.9¢
- Yes$400 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$488 @ 79.4¢
- Yes$633 @ 9.6¢
- Yes$167 @ 45.0¢
- No$2.9k @ 66.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$47 @ 5.6¢
- No$629 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 83.9¢
- Yes$286 @ 18.7¢
- No$4.6k @ 64.2¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 31.2¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 39.5¢
- Yes$10.9k @ 57.2¢
- No$58 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 75.2¢
- Yes$67 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 69.3¢
- Yes$102 @ 27.0¢
- No$612 @ 7.3¢
- Yes$986 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 80.6¢
- Yes$67 @ 23.0¢
- No$908 @ 4.3¢
- No$640 @ 43.1¢
- Yes$67 @ 49.1¢
- Yes$33 @ 1.0¢
- No$10.0k @ 36.3¢
- No$15.3k @ 89.1¢
- Yes$163 @ 11.0¢
- No$2.8k @ 62.5¢
- Yes$49 @ 2.9¢
- No$6.5k @ 72.8¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$22.0k @ 64.5¢
- No$16.4k @ 85.8¢
- Yes$13.4k @ 26.9¢
- Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$11.5k @ 86.3¢
- Yes$10.8k @ 88.2¢
- No$7.2k @ 46.8¢
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$4.1k @ 48.6¢
- No$3.7k @ 94.6¢
- No$3.6k @ 40.0¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 58.5¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 35.8¢
- No$2.8k @ 62.0¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 47.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 94.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 74.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 46.3¢
- No$1.1k @ 99.0¢
- Yes$129 @ 24.8¢
- Yes$116 @ 11.4¢
- Yes$99 @ 26.9¢