← Smart money
0x8dde…5045
ProfitableEdge
+12.8pp
ROI
+34%
Win rate
47% @ 33.7¢
Brier
0.215
Resolved
86
Avg size
$4
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 46% (11/24) | +28% | 24 |
| Geopolitics | 33% (1/3) | -30% | 3 |
| Other | 50% (1/2) | +76% | 2 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics24 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (11/24)
- ROI
- +28%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -30%
- Other2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +76%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
43% hit · 13/30- Yes$2 @ 7.2¢
- No$18 @ 62.1¢
- No$13 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 15.6¢
- No$20 @ 51.6¢
- Yes$60 @ 42.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
- No$9 @ 18.2¢
- No$4 @ 79.0¢
- No$16 @ 21.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 62.0¢
- No$16 @ 81.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 13.8¢
- Yes$12 @ 39.8¢
- Yes$8 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 11.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.6¢
- No$4 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 20.4¢
- No$3 @ 10.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.9¢
- No$1 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 4.6¢
- No$41 @ 24.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 80.0¢
- No$23 @ 39.9¢
- Yes$6 @ 10.6¢
- Yes$18 @ 24.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$1.2k @ 72.1¢
- Yes$470 @ 28.0¢
- No$409 @ 85.2¢
- No$295 @ 91.4¢
- No$225 @ 93.5¢
- No$179 @ 76.1¢
- No$141 @ 79.4¢
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$79 @ 96.0¢
- No$67 @ 96.9¢
- No$63 @ 91.3¢
- No$58 @ 98.4¢
- No$55 @ 81.0¢
- No$54 @ 83.6¢
- No$54 @ 91.2¢
- Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$47 @ 95.5¢
- No$42 @ 96.6¢
- No$36 @ 94.2¢
- No$29 @ 95.4¢
- No$28 @ 94.8¢
- No$28 @ 95.8¢
- No$28 @ 87.0¢
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$28 @ 92.1¢
- Yes$27 @ 32.5¢
- No$25 @ 88.0¢
- No$23 @ 96.9¢
- Trump goes to space in 2026?PoliticsNo$22 @ 98.0¢
- No$21 @ 92.6¢
- Yes$19 @ 23.6¢
- Yes$17 @ 45.0¢
- No$17 @ 99.3¢