← Market consensus

Activeends Sep 30, 2026

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

32.0¢

No

68.0¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 8 tracked sharps

Lean

No 72%Yes 28%

10 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0xe879…6d22	No	$290	85.8¢	1.7×	+52%	92%	Sharp
0x1062…aea5	No	$203	88.0¢	2.1×	+28%	98%	Sharp
0xff91…ab3a	Yes	$156	34.2¢	1.8×	+51%	73%	Sharp
0x7a90…2ff9	Yes	$42	18.1¢	1.7×	+63%	48%	Sharp
0xd2de…099b	No	$18	82.7¢	1.6×	+46%	83%	Sharp
0xfbd2…61f1	No	$7	70.3¢	1.9×	+23%	62%	Profitable
0xfd8a…f8e2	No	$7	71.2¢	2.0×	+23%	64%	Profitable
0x3988…7a45	Yes	$5	70.1¢	0.2×	+12%	97%	Sharp
0xfbd2…61f1	Yes	$1	49.5¢	0.3×	+23%	62%	Profitable
0xfd8a…f8e2	Yes	$1	49.0¢	0.3×	+23%	64%	Profitable

0xe879…6d22Sharp

No$290 @ 85.8¢

Conv: 1.7×
ROI: +52%
Win%: 92%

0x1062…aea5Sharp

No$203 @ 88.0¢

Conv: 2.1×
ROI: +28%
Win%: 98%

0xff91…ab3aSharp

Yes$156 @ 34.2¢

Conv: 1.8×
ROI: +51%
Win%: 73%

0x7a90…2ff9Sharp

Yes$42 @ 18.1¢

Conv: 1.7×
ROI: +63%
Win%: 48%

0xd2de…099bSharp

No$18 @ 82.7¢

Conv: 1.6×
ROI: +46%
Win%: 83%

0xfbd2…61f1Profitable

No$7 @ 70.3¢

Conv: 1.9×
ROI: +23%
Win%: 62%

0xfd8a…f8e2Profitable

No$7 @ 71.2¢

Conv: 2.0×
ROI: +23%
Win%: 64%

0x3988…7a45Sharp

Yes$5 @ 70.1¢

Conv: 0.2×
ROI: +12%
Win%: 97%

0xfbd2…61f1Profitable

Yes$1 @ 49.5¢

Conv: 0.3×
ROI: +23%
Win%: 62%

0xfd8a…f8e2Profitable

Yes$1 @ 49.0¢

Conv: 0.3×
ROI: +23%
Win%: 64%