0x7a90…2ff9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7a90bfdb1c7bbb30ab19fdd48a6b49dede972ff9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+16.7pp

ROI

+52%

Win rate

46% @ 28.8¢

Brier

0.204

Resolved

767

Avg size

$25

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	34% (42/125)	+29%	125
Politics	28% (13/46)	+80%	46
Geopolitics	29% (4/14)	+4%	14
Sports	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other125 bets
Hit rate
34% (42/125)
ROI
+29%
Politics46 bets
Hit rate
28% (13/46)
ROI
+80%
Geopolitics14 bets
Hit rate
29% (4/14)
ROI
+4%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

31% hit · 59/191

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?	No	$19	14.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?	Yes	$40	39.4¢	Lost
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?	Yes	$10	19.0¢	Won
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?	Yes	$52	51.9¢	Won
RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score	No	$25	45.0¢	Lost
Weed rescheduled by June 30?	Yes	$33	33.0¢	Lost
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	$129	29.2¢	Won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$67	40.0¢	Won
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	$7	6.6¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$95	35.3¢	Won
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$65	62.0¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	$1.5k	36.2¢	Won
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	$20	6.8¢	Lost
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	$5	7.2¢	Lost
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?	Yes	$15	16.0¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	$84	21.0¢	Lost
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	Yes	$75	21.9¢	Lost
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	Yes	$25	32.0¢	Lost
Will SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan end in a draw?	Yes	$10	17.0¢	Lost
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	$20	35.0¢	Lost
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	$118	12.4¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$110	27.5¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?	Yes	$15	56.6¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?	Yes	$55	55.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$60	47.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$8	0.4¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?	Yes	$15	34.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	No	$189	37.3¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	Yes	$25	7.0¢	Lost
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$28	27.0¢	Lost
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5	Over	$15	30.0¢	Won
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$213	31.5¢	Lost
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$29	32.0¢	Lost
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?	Yes	$20	40.0¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	$377	68.2¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	$29	23.8¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	$99	49.0¢	Lost
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$15	15.0¢	Lost
Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	$266	19.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$133	28.8¢	Lost
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?	Yes	$13	13.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$304	76.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	0.3¢	Lost
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12?	Yes	$30	40.0¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Yes	$7	0.5¢	Lost
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	$52	53.0¢	Won
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	$81	7.0¢	Lost
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?	Yes	$20	32.0¢	Won
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?	Yes	$21	7.0¢	Lost
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	$284	23.7¢	Lost

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?Lost
No$19 @ 14.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?Lost
Yes$40 @ 39.4¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?Won
Yes$10 @ 19.0¢
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?Won
Yes$52 @ 51.9¢
RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$25 @ 45.0¢
Weed rescheduled by June 30?Lost
Yes$33 @ 33.0¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Won
No$129 @ 29.2¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?Won
Yes$67 @ 40.0¢
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 6.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$95 @ 35.3¢
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Won
Over$65 @ 62.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Won
No$1.5k @ 36.2¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Lost
No$20 @ 6.8¢
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 7.2¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?Won
Yes$15 @ 16.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Lost
No$84 @ 21.0¢
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?Lost
Yes$75 @ 21.9¢
Kurds declare independence from Iran?Lost
Yes$25 @ 32.0¢
Will SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 17.0¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-25?Lost
Yes$20 @ 35.0¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Lost
Yes$118 @ 12.4¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Lost
No$110 @ 27.5¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?Lost
Yes$15 @ 56.6¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?Won
Yes$55 @ 55.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$60 @ 47.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.4¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?Won
Yes$15 @ 34.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Won
No$189 @ 37.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$25 @ 7.0¢
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$28 @ 27.0¢
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Won
Over$15 @ 30.0¢
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$213 @ 31.5¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Lost
Yes$29 @ 32.0¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?Won
Yes$20 @ 40.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Won
No$377 @ 68.2¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Lost
Yes$29 @ 23.8¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?Lost
Yes$99 @ 49.0¢
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Lost
Yes$266 @ 19.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$133 @ 28.8¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?Lost
Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
No$304 @ 76.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.3¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12?Lost
Yes$30 @ 40.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.5¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?Won
No$52 @ 53.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Lost
Yes$81 @ 7.0¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?Won
Yes$20 @ 32.0¢
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?Lost
Yes$21 @ 7.0¢
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Lost
No$284 @ 23.7¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$351	12.8¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$204	48.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$123	27.9¢
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$75	21.9¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Geopolitics	No	$66	11.0¢
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$65	16.7¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$63	3.4¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$56	3.5¢
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$51	16.7¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$47	9.9¢
Will Pedro Neto score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	—	Yes	$39	45.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$37	6.8¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$31	4.6¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$26	58.2¢
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$26	2.2¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$15	18.9¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$14	0.4¢
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$13	10.1¢
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$13	11.0¢
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$12	9.6¢
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	6.6¢
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$5	5.7¢
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$4	1.7¢
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1	6.0¢

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?Politics
Yes$351 @ 12.8¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Politics
Yes$204 @ 48.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics
Yes$123 @ 27.9¢
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?Politics
Yes$75 @ 21.9¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Geopolitics
No$66 @ 11.0¢
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics
Yes$65 @ 16.7¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Geopolitics
Yes$63 @ 3.4¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Politics
Yes$56 @ 3.5¢
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?Geopolitics
Yes$51 @ 16.7¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Politics
Yes$47 @ 9.9¢
Will Pedro Neto score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?—
Yes$39 @ 45.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Politics
Yes$37 @ 6.8¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Politics
Yes$31 @ 4.6¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$26 @ 58.2¢
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$26 @ 2.2¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Politics
Yes$15 @ 18.9¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics
Yes$14 @ 0.4¢
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$13 @ 10.1¢
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?Politics
Yes$13 @ 11.0¢
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?Politics
Yes$12 @ 9.6¢
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 6.6¢
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?Politics
Yes$5 @ 5.7¢
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?Politics
Yes$4 @ 1.7¢
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢