0x7a90…2ff9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7a90bfdb1c7bbb30ab19fdd48a6b49dede972ff9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.3pp

ROI

+59%

Win rate

47% @ 27.7¢

Brier

0.206

Resolved

691

Avg size

$24

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	34% (42/125)	+33%	125
Politics	29% (14/48)	+83%	48
Geopolitics	29% (4/14)	-7%	14
Sports	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other125 bets
Hit rate
34% (42/125)
ROI
+33%
Politics48 bets
Hit rate
29% (14/48)
ROI
+83%
Geopolitics14 bets
Hit rate
29% (4/14)
ROI
-7%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

31% hit · 60/193

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?	No	$19	14.0¢	Lost
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?	Yes	$10	19.0¢	Won
RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score	No	$25	45.0¢	Lost
Weed rescheduled by June 30?	Yes	$33	33.0¢	Lost
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	$129	29.2¢	Won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$67	40.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$95	35.3¢	Won
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$65	62.0¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	$1.5k	36.2¢	Won
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	$20	6.8¢	Lost
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	$5	7.2¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	$84	21.0¢	Lost
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	Yes	$75	21.9¢	Lost
Will SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan end in a draw?	Yes	$10	17.0¢	Lost
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	$20	35.0¢	Lost
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	$94	10.8¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?	Yes	$55	55.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$60	47.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$8	0.4¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	No	$189	37.3¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	Yes	$25	7.0¢	Lost
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$28	27.0¢	Lost
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5	Over	$15	30.0¢	Won
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$213	31.5¢	Lost
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$29	32.0¢	Lost
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?	Yes	$20	40.0¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	$37	82.0¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	$29	23.8¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	$99	49.0¢	Lost
Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	$266	19.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$304	76.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	0.3¢	Lost
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12?	Yes	$30	40.0¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Yes	$7	0.5¢	Lost
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	$52	53.0¢	Won
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	$81	7.0¢	Lost
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?	Yes	$20	32.0¢	Won
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?	Yes	$21	7.0¢	Lost
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	$284	23.7¢	Lost
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	$41	37.0¢	Won
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Over	$48	53.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$196	46.6¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	$73	63.0¢	Won
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?	Yes	$26	37.0¢	Lost
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Under	$22	44.2¢	Lost
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	$338	63.2¢	Won
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$30	39.9¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?	Yes	$34	42.0¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?	Yes	$27	27.0¢	Lost
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	$20	17.0¢	Lost

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?Lost
No$19 @ 14.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?Won
Yes$10 @ 19.0¢
RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$25 @ 45.0¢
Weed rescheduled by June 30?Lost
Yes$33 @ 33.0¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Won
No$129 @ 29.2¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?Won
Yes$67 @ 40.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$95 @ 35.3¢
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Won
Over$65 @ 62.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Won
No$1.5k @ 36.2¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Lost
No$20 @ 6.8¢
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 7.2¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Lost
No$84 @ 21.0¢
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?Lost
Yes$75 @ 21.9¢
Will SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 17.0¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-25?Lost
Yes$20 @ 35.0¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Lost
Yes$94 @ 10.8¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?Won
Yes$55 @ 55.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$60 @ 47.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.4¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Won
No$189 @ 37.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$25 @ 7.0¢
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$28 @ 27.0¢
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Won
Over$15 @ 30.0¢
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$213 @ 31.5¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Lost
Yes$29 @ 32.0¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?Won
Yes$20 @ 40.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Won
No$37 @ 82.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Lost
Yes$29 @ 23.8¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?Lost
Yes$99 @ 49.0¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Lost
Yes$266 @ 19.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
No$304 @ 76.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.3¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12?Lost
Yes$30 @ 40.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.5¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?Won
No$52 @ 53.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Lost
Yes$81 @ 7.0¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?Won
Yes$20 @ 32.0¢
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?Lost
Yes$21 @ 7.0¢
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Lost
No$284 @ 23.7¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?Won
Yes$41 @ 37.0¢
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$48 @ 53.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$196 @ 46.6¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?Won
Yes$73 @ 63.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?Lost
Yes$26 @ 37.0¢
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$22 @ 44.2¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Won
No$338 @ 63.2¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$30 @ 39.9¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?Won
Yes$34 @ 42.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?Lost
Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-05-17?Lost
Yes$20 @ 17.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	—	No	$1.2k	45.7¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$204	48.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$192	24.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$176	27.5¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	No	$149	16.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$142	20.7¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	—	No	$130	32.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	—	No	$129	16.5¢
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	—	No	$116	25.0¢
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$112	16.0¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?	—	Yes	$110	14.4¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	—	No	$105	52.5¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$99	9.0¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Geopolitics	Yes	$99	28.1¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$84	7.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	—	No	$80	40.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	—	No	$73	14.9¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Politics	Yes	$72	15.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	—	No	$72	18.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$71	15.7¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$70	7.0¢
Iran coup attempt by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$68	7.0¢
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$65	16.7¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?	—	Yes	$60	2.4¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$52	13.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	—	Yes	$49	3.3¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$48	12.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$43	5.1¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Politics	No	$43	9.9¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$42	7.0¢

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?—
No$1.2k @ 45.7¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Politics
Yes$204 @ 48.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$192 @ 24.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics
Yes$176 @ 27.5¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
No$149 @ 16.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?—
No$142 @ 20.7¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?—
No$130 @ 32.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?—
No$129 @ 16.5¢
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?—
No$116 @ 25.0¢
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?—
Yes$112 @ 16.0¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?—
Yes$110 @ 14.4¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?—
No$105 @ 52.5¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
Yes$99 @ 9.0¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Geopolitics
Yes$99 @ 28.1¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Geopolitics
Yes$84 @ 7.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?—
No$80 @ 40.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?—
No$73 @ 14.9¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics
Yes$72 @ 15.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?—
No$72 @ 18.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics
Yes$71 @ 15.7¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Geopolitics
Yes$70 @ 7.0¢
Iran coup attempt by December 31?Politics
Yes$68 @ 7.0¢
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics
Yes$65 @ 16.7¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?—
Yes$60 @ 2.4¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?—
Yes$52 @ 13.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?—
Yes$49 @ 3.3¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics
Yes$48 @ 12.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Geopolitics
Yes$43 @ 5.1¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics
No$43 @ 9.9¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics
Yes$42 @ 7.0¢