0x7a90…2ff9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7a90bfdb1c7bbb30ab19fdd48a6b49dede972ff9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.1pp

ROI

+25%

Win rate

31% @ 23.5¢

Brier

0.153

Resolved

1138

Avg size

$28

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	33% (69/206)	+44%	206
Politics	27% (24/88)	+0%	88
Geopolitics	30% (7/23)	-21%	23
Sports	22% (4/18)	-3%	18
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Science	100% (1/1)	+100%	1

Other206 bets
Hit rate
33% (69/206)
ROI
+44%
Politics88 bets
Hit rate
27% (24/88)
ROI
+0%
Geopolitics23 bets
Hit rate
30% (7/23)
ROI
-21%
Sports18 bets
Hit rate
22% (4/18)
ROI
-3%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+100%

Track record

31% hit · 105/338

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?	Yes	$20	4.9¢	Lost
Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?	Yes	$4	35.0¢	Lost
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	Yes	$25	20.0¢	Lost
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?	No	$57	19.0¢	Lost
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?	Yes	$33	38.0¢	Won
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 13, 2026?	Yes	$32	15.8¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$59	52.0¢	Lost
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	$70	24.7¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$166	44.7¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$84	42.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	No	$100	31.0¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	$42	10.5¢	Lost
Weed rescheduled by June 30?	Yes	$33	33.0¢	Lost
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	$129	29.2¢	Won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$67	40.0¢	Won
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$65	62.0¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	$1.4k	42.0¢	Won
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	Yes	$75	21.9¢	Lost
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	$20	35.0¢	Lost
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	$47	9.9¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$110	27.5¢	Lost
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.8k	25.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$60	47.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$8	0.4¢	Lost
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$213	31.5¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	$201	6.7¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	No	$179	50.0¢	Won
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	$136	34.0¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	$54	26.8¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$11	25.3¢	Won
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$29	32.0¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	$99	49.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	$171	19.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	No	$28	13.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	$777	17.7¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	Yes	$50	22.7¢	Lost
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?	Yes	$145	6.3¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$62	41.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	$108	40.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$304	76.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	0.3¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Yes	$7	0.5¢	Lost
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	$81	7.0¢	Lost
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	$12	12.5¢	Lost
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$99	14.2¢	Lost
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?	Yes	$20	32.0¢	Won
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?	Yes	$21	7.0¢	Lost
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	$284	23.7¢	Lost
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	$41	37.0¢	Won

Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 4.9¢
Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 35.0¢
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$25 @ 20.0¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?Lost
No$57 @ 19.0¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?Won
Yes$33 @ 38.0¢
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$32 @ 15.8¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Lost
No$59 @ 52.0¢
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Lost
No$70 @ 24.7¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
No$166 @ 44.7¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
Yes$84 @ 42.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$100 @ 31.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Lost
Yes$42 @ 10.5¢
Weed rescheduled by June 30?Lost
Yes$33 @ 33.0¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Won
No$129 @ 29.2¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?Won
Yes$67 @ 40.0¢
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Won
Over$65 @ 62.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Won
No$1.4k @ 42.0¢
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?Lost
Yes$75 @ 21.9¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-25?Lost
Yes$20 @ 35.0¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Lost
Yes$47 @ 9.9¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Lost
No$110 @ 27.5¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 25.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$60 @ 47.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.4¢
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$213 @ 31.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$201 @ 6.7¢
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Won
No$179 @ 50.0¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Won
No$136 @ 34.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Lost
No$54 @ 26.8¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Won
Yes$11 @ 25.3¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Lost
Yes$29 @ 32.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?Lost
Yes$99 @ 49.0¢
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?Lost
No$1 @ 0.4¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Lost
Yes$171 @ 19.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Lost
No$28 @ 13.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Lost
No$777 @ 17.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$50 @ 22.7¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Lost
Yes$145 @ 6.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$62 @ 41.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Won
No$108 @ 40.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
No$304 @ 76.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.5¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Lost
Yes$81 @ 7.0¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?Lost
Yes$12 @ 12.5¢
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$99 @ 14.2¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?Won
Yes$20 @ 32.0¢
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?Lost
Yes$21 @ 7.0¢
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Lost
No$284 @ 23.7¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?Won
Yes$41 @ 37.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	—	No	$543	35.3¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	No	$257	17.1¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$204	48.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Politics	No	$197	24.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	—	Yes	$189	37.8¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$178	27.3¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$156	21.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	—	No	$156	13.0¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Politics	No	$122	8.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$119	7.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$111	15.8¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$99	9.0¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Geopolitics	Yes	$99	28.1¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$84	7.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	—	Yes	$84	28.0¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?	—	Yes	$79	15.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	—	Yes	$78	15.6¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$73	6.2¢
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$70	10.4¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$64	16.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	—	Yes	$56	6.8¢
Iran coup attempt by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$56	7.0¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18?	—	Yes	$55	58.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	—	No	$55	17.0¢
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$54	23.4¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$54	9.0¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?	—	Yes	$50	25.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	—	Yes	$49	3.3¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Politics	No	$49	6.6¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$48	12.0¢

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?—
No$543 @ 35.3¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
No$257 @ 17.1¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Politics
Yes$204 @ 48.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics
No$197 @ 24.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?—
Yes$189 @ 37.8¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics
Yes$178 @ 27.3¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Politics
Yes$156 @ 21.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?—
No$156 @ 13.0¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?Politics
No$122 @ 8.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$119 @ 7.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics
Yes$111 @ 15.8¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
Yes$99 @ 9.0¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Geopolitics
Yes$99 @ 28.1¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Geopolitics
Yes$84 @ 7.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?—
Yes$84 @ 28.0¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?—
Yes$79 @ 15.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?—
Yes$78 @ 15.6¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics
Yes$73 @ 6.2¢
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$70 @ 10.4¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
Yes$64 @ 16.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?—
Yes$56 @ 6.8¢
Iran coup attempt by December 31?Politics
Yes$56 @ 7.0¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18?—
Yes$55 @ 58.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?—
No$55 @ 17.0¢
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$54 @ 23.4¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
Yes$54 @ 9.0¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?—
Yes$50 @ 25.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?—
Yes$49 @ 3.3¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Politics
No$49 @ 6.6¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics
Yes$48 @ 12.0¢