← Smart money
0x63c6…3e53
ProfitableEdge
+12.1pp
ROI
+13%
Win rate
65% @ 53.2¢
Brier
0.311
Resolved
170
Avg size
$66
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 60% (12/20) | +5% | 20 |
| Other | 36% (4/11) | -16% | 11 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (4/4) | +27% | 4 |
| Sports | 67% (2/3) | +105% | 3 |
| Culture | 100% (1/1) | +14% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +342% | 1 |
- Politics20 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (12/20)
- ROI
- +5%
- Other11 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (4/11)
- ROI
- -16%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (4/4)
- ROI
- +27%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +105%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +14%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +342%
Track record
60% hit · 24/40- Yes$5 @ 88.0¢
- No$31 @ 55.5¢
- No$28 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$330 @ 85.0¢
- No$608 @ 88.0¢
- No$15 @ 88.0¢
- No$502 @ 58.5¢
- No$48 @ 83.1¢
- No$104 @ 82.0¢
- No$361 @ 83.0¢
- No$31 @ 22.6¢
- Yes$750 @ 60.0¢
- No$10 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$39 @ 25.0¢
- No$863 @ 83.0¢
- No$16 @ 14.7¢
- Yes$99 @ 51.6¢
- Yes$30 @ 38.2¢
- No$1.0k @ 43.3¢
- No$113 @ 10.3¢
- Yes$12 @ 61.0¢
- No$619 @ 79.6¢
- Yes$510 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$288 @ 52.2¢
- Yes$7 @ 19.9¢
- No$66 @ 63.1¢
- No$569 @ 86.0¢
- No$306 @ 32.9¢
- Yes$31 @ 11.5¢
- Yes$593 @ 52.4¢
- Yes$17 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$8 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 45.0¢
- No$197 @ 55.6¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 65.9¢
- Yes$674 @ 68.5¢
- Yes$65 @ 59.0¢
- No$412 @ 87.6¢
- No$17 @ 97.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$2.3k @ 88.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 44.6¢
- No$863 @ 82.9¢
- No$791 @ 79.1¢
- No$599 @ 85.0¢
- No$576 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$467 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$370 @ 95.5¢
- No$202 @ 94.6¢
- No$201 @ 90.9¢
- No$195 @ 84.4¢
- No$143 @ 95.3¢
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?GeopoliticsNo$140 @ 42.9¢
- Yes$80 @ 97.2¢
- No$57 @ 95.0¢
- No$36 @ 36.0¢
- No$29 @ 68.6¢
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$16 @ 41.0¢
- No$15 @ 87.7¢
- No$8 @ 78.0¢