← Smart money
0x5449…992b
SharpEdge
+22.3pp
ROI
+40%
Win rate
86% @ 63.6¢
Brier
0.163
Resolved
446
Avg size
$1
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 60% (167/280) | +30% | 280 |
| Other | 47% (84/178) | +7% | 178 |
| Sports | 60% (38/63) | -43% | 63 |
| Tech | 63% (31/49) | +16% | 49 |
| Geopolitics | 63% (31/49) | -13% | 49 |
| Crypto | 48% (10/21) | -20% | 21 |
| Culture | 65% (11/17) | -24% | 17 |
| Economy | 55% (6/11) | -24% | 11 |
| Business | 63% (5/8) | -44% | 8 |
| Science | 50% (2/4) | +17% | 4 |
- Politics280 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (167/280)
- ROI
- +30%
- Other178 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (84/178)
- ROI
- +7%
- Sports63 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (38/63)
- ROI
- -43%
- Tech49 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (31/49)
- ROI
- +16%
- Geopolitics49 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (31/49)
- ROI
- -13%
- Crypto21 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (10/21)
- ROI
- -20%
- Culture17 bets
- Hit rate
- 65% (11/17)
- ROI
- -24%
- Economy11 bets
- Hit rate
- 55% (6/11)
- ROI
- -24%
- Business8 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (5/8)
- ROI
- -44%
- Science4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +17%
Track record
57% hit · 385/680- Patriots$26 @ 31.1¢
- Cowboys$41 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 58.4¢
- No$6 @ 6.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 90.0¢
- No$25 @ 37.4¢
- Yes$194 @ 41.3¢
- No$3 @ 35.0¢
- Lotte Giants$1 @ 0.9¢
- No$10 @ 15.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$135 @ 83.7¢
- No$128 @ 82.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 38.5¢
- Yes$4 @ 61.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 59.0¢
- No$1 @ 40.0¢
- No$1 @ 94.2¢
- No$4 @ 83.5¢
- Yes$12 @ 91.8¢
- No$4 @ 7.0¢
- No$2 @ 87.9¢
- Yes$67 @ 8.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$78 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 16.2¢
- No$1 @ 97.6¢
- No$1 @ 69.0¢
- No$5 @ 67.6¢
- Yes$54 @ 16.3¢
- Yes$4 @ 73.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 69.8¢
- No$2 @ 87.7¢
- No$98 @ 90.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 27.5¢
- Yes$63 @ 8.5¢
- No$2 @ 99.9¢
- Yes$61 @ 8.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 91.0¢
- No$3 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 13.4¢
- No$3 @ 85.0¢
- No$2 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 70.2¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 95.0¢
- No$8 @ 98.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$601 @ 83.5¢
- Yes$500 @ 22.6¢
- Yes$436 @ 60.1¢
- No$386 @ 77.6¢
- No$346 @ 89.2¢
- No$267 @ 78.1¢
- Yes$213 @ 9.1¢
- Yes$191 @ 46.3¢
- No$180 @ 91.8¢
- No$139 @ 98.1¢
- No$136 @ 95.8¢
- Yes$118 @ 63.4¢
- No$111 @ 88.1¢
- No$101 @ 70.3¢
- No$98 @ 77.3¢
- Yes$91 @ 2.1¢
- No$76 @ 95.5¢
- Yes$75 @ 67.3¢
- Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$72 @ 89.8¢
- No$72 @ 90.0¢
- Yes$72 @ 73.9¢
- Yes$71 @ 39.3¢
- Yes$65 @ 52.8¢
- No$65 @ 60.7¢
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$62 @ 84.1¢
- No$62 @ 79.7¢
- Yes$57 @ 53.9¢
- No$57 @ 70.6¢
- No$56 @ 89.6¢
- No$53 @ 99.3¢