0x5087…09be

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics38 bets

  Hit rate

  79% (30/38)

  ROI

  -1%

• Other34 bets

  Hit rate

  62% (21/34)

  ROI

  +17%

• Geopolitics8 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (6/8)

  ROI

  +1%

• Sports7 bets

  Hit rate

  71% (5/7)

  ROI

  +13%

• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$2 @ 90.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$2.0k @ 79.6¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Lost
  No$10 @ 35.0¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Lost
  No$15 @ 62.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 3?Won
  Yes$138 @ 43.9¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Won
  No$1000 @ 73.9¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
  Yes$6 @ 2.8¢
• Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Won
  Yes$69 @ 63.2¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Won
  Yes$34 @ 23.1¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Won
  No$295 @ 80.4¢
• Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$27 @ 88.4¢
• Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$33 @ 7.4¢
• Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Lost
  No$202 @ 76.6¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 9.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 6?Won
  Yes$6 @ 27.0¢
• US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Won
  Yes$17 @ 81.6¢
• Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?Won
  Yes$41 @ 84.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
  No$1.0k @ 88.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 3?Lost
  No$9 @ 56.7¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Won
  Yes$12 @ 16.7¢
• Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 3?Lost
  Yes$30 @ 23.9¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Won
  No$300 @ 86.5¢
• Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$8 @ 89.2¢
• Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$79 @ 88.0¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Won
  No$20 @ 72.6¢
• Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 2?Lost
  No$8 @ 39.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 2?Won
  Yes$37 @ 68.3¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Won
  Yes$30 @ 68.8¢
• Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Lost
  Yes$61 @ 76.2¢
• Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?Won
  No$4 @ 83.0¢
• Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Won
  No$2 @ 82.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Won
  Yes$11 @ 88.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 29.0¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 48.0¢
• Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 96.5¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Won
  No$3 @ 88.0¢
• Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Won
  Yes$3 @ 99.1¢
• Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Won
  No$17 @ 99.1¢
• Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 3.8¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$416 @ 84.2¢
• Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$92 @ 91.8¢
• Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 2.1¢
• Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
  No$22 @ 98.8¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Won
  No$0 @ 0.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$71 @ 96.0¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Lost
  No$113 @ 89.8¢
• Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$94 @ 91.5¢
• Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
  No$16 @ 80.0¢

Current positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$5.7k @ 88.2¢
• Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$246 @ 79.1¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  Yes$60 @ 30.0¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$32 @ 64.0¢
• Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$24 @ 2.4¢
• Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  Yes$17 @ 29.6¢
• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$12 @ 38.4¢
• Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$11 @ 4.2¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 16.9¢
• Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 62.0¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$5 @ 90.5¢
• Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$5 @ 89.0¢
• Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$4 @ 64.0¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
  Yes$4 @ 40.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$4 @ 45.0¢
• Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 1.4¢
• Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
• Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 86.0¢
• Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 0.1¢