0x5087…09be

Specialization by sphere

• Other18 bets

  Hit rate

  56% (10/18)

  ROI

  +37%

• Politics13 bets

  Hit rate

  77% (10/13)

  ROI

  +20%

• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$2 @ 90.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$2.0k @ 79.6¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Lost
  No$10 @ 35.0¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Lost
  No$15 @ 62.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 3?Won
  Yes$138 @ 43.9¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
  Yes$6 @ 2.8¢
• Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Won
  No$5 @ 89.0¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Won
  Yes$34 @ 23.1¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Won
  No$295 @ 80.4¢
• Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Lost
  No$202 @ 76.6¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 9.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 6?Won
  Yes$6 @ 27.0¢
• Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?Won
  Yes$41 @ 84.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
  No$1.0k @ 88.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 3?Lost
  No$9 @ 56.7¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Won
  Yes$12 @ 16.7¢
• Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 3?Lost
  Yes$30 @ 23.9¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Won
  No$300 @ 86.5¢
• Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$8 @ 89.2¢
• Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$79 @ 88.0¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Won
  No$20 @ 72.6¢
• Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 2?Lost
  No$8 @ 39.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 2?Won
  Yes$37 @ 68.3¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Won
  Yes$30 @ 68.8¢
• Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Lost
  Yes$61 @ 76.2¢
• Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?Won
  No$4 @ 83.0¢
• Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Won
  No$2 @ 82.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Won
  Yes$11 @ 88.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 29.0¢

Current positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$2.5k @ 84.0¢
• Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 71.6¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$549 @ 97.0¢
• Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$496 @ 81.7¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
  No$393 @ 92.8¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$390 @ 64.0¢
• Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$356 @ 84.2¢
• Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  No$129 @ 91.5¢
• Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  No$97 @ 96.7¢
• Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$82 @ 92.9¢
• Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics
  No$73 @ 96.2¢
• Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  Yes$61 @ 69.7¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
  No$40 @ 91.6¢
• Iran leadership change by June 30?Politics
  No$38 @ 98.7¢
• Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$35 @ 94.8¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$26 @ 97.7¢
• Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics
  Yes$23 @ 93.5¢
• Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  Yes$17 @ 29.6¢
• Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$15 @ 78.0¢
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$12 @ 96.2¢
• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$12 @ 38.4¢
• Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Politics
  Yes$11 @ 88.0¢
• State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? Politics
  No$10 @ 91.0¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 16.9¢
• Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$8 @ 4.0¢
• Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$5 @ 89.0¢
• Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$4 @ 64.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$4 @ 45.0¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
  Yes$4 @ 40.0¢
• Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?Politics
  No$2 @ 97.0¢