0x5087…09be

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x508722b289bcf4d24b98db183c514c8cea4c09be
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+14.5pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

72% @ 57.9¢

Brier

0.232

Resolved

Avg size

$59

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	56% (10/18)	+37%	18
Politics	79% (11/14)	+21%	14

Other18 bets
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
ROI
+37%
Politics14 bets
Hit rate
79% (11/14)
ROI
+21%

Track record

66% hit · 21/32

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	90.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.0k	79.6¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	$10	35.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 3?	Yes	$138	43.9¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$6	2.8¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$34	23.1¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$295	80.4¢	Won
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	$202	76.6¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	$3	9.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 6?	Yes	$6	27.0¢	Won
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	$41	84.0¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	$4	8.0¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$1.0k	88.0¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$13	13.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 3?	No	$9	56.7¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	$12	16.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 3?	Yes	$30	23.9¢	Lost
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	$300	86.5¢	Won
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	$8	89.2¢	Won
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$79	88.0¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	$20	72.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 2?	No	$8	39.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 2?	Yes	$37	68.3¢	Won
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	$30	68.8¢	Won
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	$61	76.2¢	Lost
Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	No	$4	83.0¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	$11	88.0¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	$1	29.0¢	Lost
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$74	70.2¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$15	62.0¢	Lost
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	No	$5	89.0¢	Won
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	$2	82.0¢	Won

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$2 @ 90.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$2.0k @ 79.6¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Lost
No$10 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 3?Won
Yes$138 @ 43.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$6 @ 2.8¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Won
Yes$34 @ 23.1¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Won
No$295 @ 80.4¢
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Lost
No$202 @ 76.6¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Lost
Yes$3 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 6?Won
Yes$6 @ 27.0¢
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?Won
Yes$41 @ 84.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Lost
Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$1.0k @ 88.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 3?Lost
No$9 @ 56.7¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Won
Yes$12 @ 16.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 3?Lost
Yes$30 @ 23.9¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Won
No$300 @ 86.5¢
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Won
No$8 @ 89.2¢
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$79 @ 88.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Won
No$20 @ 72.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 2?Lost
No$8 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 2?Won
Yes$37 @ 68.3¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Won
Yes$30 @ 68.8¢
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Lost
Yes$61 @ 76.2¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?Won
No$4 @ 83.0¢
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Won
Yes$11 @ 88.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Lost
Yes$1 @ 29.0¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
No$74 @ 70.2¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Lost
No$15 @ 62.0¢
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 89.0¢
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Won
No$2 @ 82.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$4.5k	84.3¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	—	No	$439	96.5¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	—	No	$130	89.9¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$63	89.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$61	69.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$60	30.0¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Politics	No	$40	91.6¢
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$17	29.6¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$12	38.4¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$11	2.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	—	No	$11	69.7¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$10	16.9¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$10	62.0¢
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$8	4.0¢
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$5	89.0¢
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$4	64.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$4	45.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$4	40.0¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Politics	Yes	$2	3.8¢
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	86.0¢

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$4.5k @ 84.3¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?—
No$439 @ 96.5¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?—
No$130 @ 89.9¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$63 @ 89.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$61 @ 69.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$60 @ 30.0¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
No$40 @ 91.6¢
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$17 @ 29.6¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$12 @ 38.4¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$11 @ 2.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?—
No$11 @ 69.7¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$10 @ 16.9¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics
Yes$10 @ 62.0¢
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$8 @ 4.0¢
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$5 @ 89.0¢
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$4 @ 64.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$4 @ 45.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
Yes$4 @ 40.0¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics
Yes$2 @ 3.8¢
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 86.0¢