0x3ff0…4a80

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3ff015418e18383bc88c9b4279b24f302f1a4a80
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+20.4pp

ROI

+28%

Win rate

94% @ 73.3¢

Brier

0.114

Resolved

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	89% (8/9)	+34%	9
Other	100% (6/6)	+31%	6
Politics	50% (1/2)	-23%	2
Economy	100% (1/1)	+11%	1

Sports9 bets
Hit rate
89% (8/9)
ROI
+34%
Other6 bets
Hit rate
100% (6/6)
ROI
+31%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-23%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+11%

Track record

89% hit · 16/18

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?	No	$1	96.0¢	Won
Spread: Bills (-1.5)	Bills	$1	66.0¢	Won
Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-09-16?	No	$1	92.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$1	62.0¢	Won
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?	No	$1	78.0¢	Won
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	$1	82.0¢	Lost
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?	No	$1	83.0¢	Won
Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	$1	65.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	No	$2	89.3¢	Won
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	$1	90.0¢	Won
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	$1	78.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2	80.0¢	Won
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	$2	80.0¢	Won
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	$1	54.0¢	Won
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	No	$1	79.0¢	Won
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)	Max Holloway	$20	72.0¢	Won
Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	No	$1	66.0¢	Won
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	No	$1	64.0¢	Won

Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?Won
No$1 @ 96.0¢
Spread: Bills (-1.5)Won
Bills$1 @ 66.0¢
Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-09-16?Won
No$1 @ 92.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$1 @ 62.0¢
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?Won
No$1 @ 78.0¢
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 82.0¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?Won
No$1 @ 83.0¢
Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Won
Yes$1 @ 65.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Won
No$2 @ 89.3¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Won
Yes$1 @ 90.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Lost
No$1 @ 78.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$2 @ 80.0¢
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Won
Yes$2 @ 80.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Won
Yes$1 @ 54.0¢
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Won
No$1 @ 79.0¢
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Won
Max Holloway$20 @ 72.0¢
Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Won
No$1 @ 66.0¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Won
No$1 @ 64.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Politics	No	$3	95.0¢
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Politics	No	$2	98.2¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$2	88.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Politics	No	$2	87.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	No	$1	81.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$1	87.0¢
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	Politics	No	$1	67.0¢
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Sports	No	$1	93.7¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$1	88.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	—	No	$1	86.0¢
Browns vs. Buccaneers	—	Buccaneers	$1	79.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$1	81.9¢
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$1	80.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1	76.0¢
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Politics	Yes	$1	76.4¢
Packers vs. Jets	—	Packers	$1	62.0¢

Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics
No$3 @ 95.0¢
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics
No$2 @ 98.2¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$2 @ 88.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics
No$2 @ 87.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
No$1 @ 81.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$1 @ 87.0¢
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics
No$1 @ 67.0¢
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?Sports
No$1 @ 93.7¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$1 @ 88.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?—
No$1 @ 86.0¢
Browns vs. Buccaneers—
Buccaneers$1 @ 79.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?—
Yes$1 @ 81.9¢
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Politics
Yes$1 @ 80.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 76.0¢
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics
Yes$1 @ 76.4¢
Packers vs. Jets—
Packers$1 @ 62.0¢