0x389a…397d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x389a21fa2e2445c7f8b915b45b9b009bd641397d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.5pp

ROI

+17%

Win rate

55% @ 45.9¢

Brier

0.179

Resolved

372

Avg size

$97

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (37/77)	+25%	77
Tech	35% (6/17)	-27%	17
Politics	70% (7/10)	+21%	10
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	-27%	2
Economy	50% (1/2)	-28%	2

Other77 bets
Hit rate
48% (37/77)
ROI
+25%
Tech17 bets
Hit rate
35% (6/17)
ROI
-27%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
70% (7/10)
ROI
+21%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-27%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-28%

Track record

48% hit · 52/108

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	No	$100	77.9¢	Won
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of August 17 2026?	Yes	$152	60.5¢	Won
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$397	22.3¢	Lost
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	$263	72.1¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	Yes	$103	29.2¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?	Yes	$51	28.1¢	Won
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?	No	$83	8.5¢	Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?	Yes	$60	42.9¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$20	1.1¢	Lost
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?	Yes	$30	3.8¢	Lost
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	Yes	$40	15.6¢	Lost
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	$31	8.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	No	$374	70.6¢	Won
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $900 Week of August 10 2026?	No	$62	34.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	No	$200	62.1¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	Yes	$19	23.8¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	$119	6.0¢	Lost
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?	Yes	$4	32.5¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?	No	$294	81.4¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?	Yes	$78	20.7¢	Lost
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?	No	$268	19.9¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	$102	37.7¢	Won
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Yes	$80	31.0¢	Lost
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?	No	$123	47.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?	Yes	$332	33.6¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?	Yes	$62	7.5¢	Lost
Ethereum above 2,440 on August 30, 9PM ET?	Yes	$53	25.3¢	Lost
Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?	Yes	$203	70.6¢	Lost
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $810 Week of July 6 2026?	No	$25	72.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$6	0.6¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$2.0k	62.9¢	Won
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$50	18.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	No	$344	69.3¢	Lost
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$204	7.2¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	No	$1.3k	77.9¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	Yes	$150	72.9¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$2.1k	39.4¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$150	75.6¢	Won
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$787	20.0¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	$5	0.2¢	Lost
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	$150	74.3¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?	No	$1.1k	41.2¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?	No	$1.4k	59.8¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?	Yes	$193	32.3¢	Lost
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?	No	$54	30.1¢	Won
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?	No	$363	39.6¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?	No	$202	74.0¢	Lost
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	$1.1k	68.4¢	Won
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	No	$165	16.0¢	Lost
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?	Down	$720	66.2¢	Lost

Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Won
No$100 @ 77.9¢
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of August 17 2026?Won
Yes$152 @ 60.5¢
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Lost
Yes$397 @ 22.3¢
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Won
Yes$263 @ 72.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Lost
Yes$103 @ 29.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?Won
Yes$51 @ 28.1¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Lost
No$83 @ 8.5¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Lost
Yes$60 @ 42.9¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
Yes$20 @ 1.1¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Lost
Yes$30 @ 3.8¢
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Lost
Yes$40 @ 15.6¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Lost
No$31 @ 8.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Won
No$374 @ 70.6¢
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $900 Week of August 10 2026?Lost
No$62 @ 34.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Won
No$200 @ 62.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$19 @ 23.8¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Lost
No$119 @ 6.0¢
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?Won
Yes$4 @ 32.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?Won
No$294 @ 81.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?Lost
Yes$78 @ 20.7¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Lost
No$268 @ 19.9¢
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Won
Yes$102 @ 37.7¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Lost
Yes$80 @ 31.0¢
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$123 @ 47.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?Won
Yes$332 @ 33.6¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?Lost
Yes$62 @ 7.5¢
Ethereum above 2,440 on August 30, 9PM ET?Lost
Yes$53 @ 25.3¢
Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?Lost
Yes$203 @ 70.6¢
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $810 Week of July 6 2026?Won
No$25 @ 72.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Won
No$2.0k @ 62.9¢
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$50 @ 18.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Lost
No$344 @ 69.3¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Lost
Yes$204 @ 7.2¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Won
No$1.3k @ 77.9¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$150 @ 72.9¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Lost
No$2.1k @ 39.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Won
No$150 @ 75.6¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
Yes$787 @ 20.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Lost
No$5 @ 0.2¢
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Won
No$150 @ 74.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?Won
No$1.1k @ 41.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Won
No$1.4k @ 59.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Lost
Yes$193 @ 32.3¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?Won
No$54 @ 30.1¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?Won
No$363 @ 39.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Lost
No$202 @ 74.0¢
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Won
No$1.1k @ 68.4¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Lost
No$165 @ 16.0¢
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Lost
Down$720 @ 66.2¢

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