← Market consensus

Activeends Jul 31, 2026

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

52.0¢

No

48.0¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 4 tracked sharps

Strong

No 86%Yes 14%

4 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x22e4…ef1c	No	$206	94.9¢	0.3×	+16%	89%	Sharp
0xe533…ab29	Yes	$34	10.0¢	0.4×	+9%	29%	Profitable
0x3988…7a45	No	$5	96.0¢	0.2×	+12%	97%	Sharp
0x5c7b…d463	Yes	$1	5.0¢	0.4×	+6%	11%	Sharp

0x22e4…ef1cSharp

No$206 @ 94.9¢

Conv: 0.3×
ROI: +16%
Win%: 89%

0xe533…ab29Profitable

Yes$34 @ 10.0¢

Conv: 0.4×
ROI: +9%
Win%: 29%

0x3988…7a45Sharp

No$5 @ 96.0¢

Conv: 0.2×
ROI: +12%
Win%: 97%

0x5c7b…d463Sharp

Yes$1 @ 5.0¢

Conv: 0.4×
ROI: +6%
Win%: 11%