← Market consensus

Activeends Jul 31, 2026

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

94.0¢

No

6.0¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 4 tracked sharps

Strong

Yes 97%No 3%

4 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0xdc4f…4652	Yes	$2.6k	98.2¢	18×	+15%	77%	Sharp
0xd8d5…8935	Yes	$940	94.0¢	7.6×	+8%	90%	Sharp
0xe879…6d22	Yes	$243	97.3¢	2.1×	+41%	88%	Sharp
0x21f7…e19f	No	$114	0.7¢	0.6×	+24%	46%	Sharp

0xdc4f…4652Sharp

Yes$2.6k @ 98.2¢

Conv: 18×
ROI: +15%
Win%: 77%

0xd8d5…8935Sharp

Yes$940 @ 94.0¢

Conv: 7.6×
ROI: +8%
Win%: 90%

0xe879…6d22Sharp

Yes$243 @ 97.3¢

Conv: 2.1×
ROI: +41%
Win%: 88%

0x21f7…e19fSharp

No$114 @ 0.7¢

Conv: 0.6×
ROI: +24%
Win%: 46%