0x1062…aea5

Specialization by sphere

• Politics6 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (6/6)

  ROI

  +33%

• Other4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  +30%

• Geopolitics2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +14%

• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
  No$190 @ 85.9¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
  No$418 @ 89.2¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
  No$522 @ 87.0¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$300 @ 87.9¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Won
  No$148 @ 74.1¢
• Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?Lost
  No$1 @ 0.1¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
  No$547 @ 76.7¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
  No$700 @ 71.0¢
• Iran leadership change by April 30?Won
  No$200 @ 55.0¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Won
  No$851 @ 81.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Won
  Yes$300 @ 74.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Won
  No$98 @ 83.0¢

Current positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$1.0k @ 61.2¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$999 @ 80.1¢
• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
  No$888 @ 92.4¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
  No$883 @ 72.3¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Geopolitics
  No$522 @ 87.0¢
• Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$428 @ 74.3¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$375 @ 96.4¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$300 @ 87.9¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics
  No$300 @ 48.1¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$200 @ 57.4¢
• Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$200 @ 51.8¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$200 @ 71.0¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
  No$190 @ 85.9¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Politics
  No$170 @ 91.7¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics
  No$131 @ 71.0¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$100 @ 91.0¢
• Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$100 @ 95.8¢
• Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$100 @ 93.0¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics
  No$100 @ 86.0¢
• KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?Politics
  No$100 @ 83.0¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics
  No$28 @ 89.9¢
• Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$18 @ 95.8¢