PoliticsActiveends Nov 8, 2026

Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

99.7¢

No

0.4¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 3 tracked sharps

Strong

Yes 91%No 9%

Include 3 outside the consensus pool3 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x2b9d…adc0	Yes	$154	33.2¢	1.4×	+12%	31%	Sharp
0x6cf8…042f	Yes	$76	39.1¢	3.5×	+21%	49%	Sharp
0x6560…e164	No	$24	2.0¢	0.4×	+13%	37%	Sharp

0x2b9d…adc0Sharp

Yes$154 @ 33.2¢

Conv: 1.4×
ROI: +12%
Win%: 31%

0x6cf8…042fSharp

Yes$76 @ 39.1¢

Conv: 3.5×
ROI: +21%
Win%: 49%

0x6560…e164Sharp

No$24 @ 2.0¢

Conv: 0.4×
ROI: +13%
Win%: 37%