← Smart money
0x5848…b529
SharpEdge
+6.8pp
ROI
+15%
Win rate
64% @ 56.9¢
Brier
0.129
Resolved
819
Avg size
$40
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 60% (41/68) | +25% | 68 |
| Politics | 48% (12/25) | -50% | 25 |
| Sports | 27% (6/22) | +44% | 22 |
| Crypto | 75% (3/4) | +31% | 4 |
- Other68 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (41/68)
- ROI
- +25%
- Politics25 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (12/25)
- ROI
- -50%
- Sports22 bets
- Hit rate
- 27% (6/22)
- ROI
- +44%
- Crypto4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +31%
Track record
52% hit · 62/119- Yes$80 @ 80.0¢
- No$103 @ 53.3¢
- No$1 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$111 @ 78.8¢
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?WonNo$313 @ 89.1¢
- No$15 @ 30.5¢
- Yes$4 @ 89.0¢
- No$101 @ 81.4¢
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win 48%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?WonNo$822 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$178 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 5.1¢
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?WonNo$522 @ 87.4¢
- Yes$128 @ 44.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.4¢
- No$648 @ 42.3¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 81.8¢
- Yes$60 @ 39.9¢
- No$251 @ 86.5¢
- Yes$117 @ 69.8¢
- No$736 @ 88.6¢
- No$29 @ 29.1¢
- Yes$191 @ 41.5¢
- Yes$25 @ 7.5¢
- Yes$12 @ 1.1¢
- No$10 @ 64.7¢
- Yes$44 @ 11.8¢
- No$69 @ 84.6¢
- No$18 @ 88.6¢
- No$26 @ 86.0¢
- No$13 @ 33.0¢
- No$6.3k @ 81.5¢
- Yes$532 @ 65.8¢
- No$11 @ 87.8¢
- Yes$312 @ 62.4¢
- Yes$67 @ 80.7¢
- No$23 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 72.0¢
- No$152 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 4.1¢
- No$1.8k @ 65.9¢
- No$6 @ 85.1¢
- No$1 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 47.0¢
- No$35 @ 67.6¢
- Will Venstre win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?LostYes$2 @ 7.0¢
- Will GroenLinks–Labour Party (GL–PvdA) win the most seats in The Hague’s 2026 municipal election?LostYes$8 @ 1.0¢
- No$57 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$131 @ 54.5¢
- No$44 @ 43.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$2.2k @ 89.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 82.3¢
- No$922 @ 69.1¢
- No$577 @ 94.4¢
- No$566 @ 76.0¢
- No$513 @ 78.8¢
- No$500 @ 80.6¢
- Yes$498 @ 60.7¢
- No$231 @ 92.4¢
- No$210 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$184 @ 69.1¢
- Yes$181 @ 64.5¢
- Yes$175 @ 93.6¢
- No$166 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$164 @ 63.2¢
- Yes$154 @ 34.9¢
- No$138 @ 69.0¢
- No$122 @ 81.3¢
- No$114 @ 71.0¢
- No$108 @ 65.8¢
- No$101 @ 73.8¢
- Yes$100 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$88 @ 31.1¢
- No$86 @ 28.7¢
- No$76 @ 79.8¢
- Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$66 @ 65.7¢
- No$50 @ 63.5¢
- No$49 @ 93.0¢
- Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%?PoliticsNo$45 @ 87.0¢
- No$37 @ 40.6¢