GeopoliticsActiveends Oct 4, 2026

Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?

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Yes

5.0¢

No

95.0¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 3 tracked sharps

Strong

No 92%Yes 8%

3 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x1964…5e04	No	$300	87.4¢	14×	+17%	74%	Sharp
0xd3ec…6603	No	$255	74.0¢	0.4×	+26%	86%	Sharp
0x4388…5050	Yes	$46	21.0¢	0.9×	+19%	45%	Sharp

0x1964…5e04Sharp

No$300 @ 87.4¢

Conv: 14×
ROI: +17%
Win%: 74%

0xd3ec…6603Sharp

No$255 @ 74.0¢

Conv: 0.4×
ROI: +26%
Win%: 86%

0x4388…5050Sharp

Yes$46 @ 21.0¢

Conv: 0.9×
ROI: +19%
Win%: 45%