GeopoliticsActiveends Jan 1, 2027

Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

12.3¢

No

87.8¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 3 tracked sharps

Strong

No 99%Yes 1%

3 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0xb23e…829a	No	$1.1k	83.5¢	13×	+11%	57%	Sharp
0x2a01…6397	No	$100	92.7¢	0.3×	+15%	81%	Sharp
0x860d…6071	Yes	$16	8.0¢	0.7×	+9%	48%	Sharp

0xb23e…829aSharp

No$1.1k @ 83.5¢

Conv: 13×
ROI: +11%
Win%: 57%

0x2a01…6397Sharp

No$100 @ 92.7¢

Conv: 0.3×
ROI: +15%
Win%: 81%

0x860d…6071Sharp

Yes$16 @ 8.0¢

Conv: 0.7×
ROI: +9%
Win%: 48%