0xb23e…829a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb23e88a3e729951c1992b361435a5c410fcf829a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.3pp

ROI

+41%

Win rate

68% @ 48.3¢

Brier

0.213

Resolved

Avg size

$66

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (3/6)	+23%	6
Politics	50% (1/2)	+64%	2

Other6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
+23%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+64%

Track record

50% hit · 4/8

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?	No	$432	15.8¢	Lost
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$1.5k	49.6¢	Won
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$341	56.8¢	Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?	No	$1.5k	62.0¢	Won
Over $18M committed to the Credible public sale?	No	$2	34.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	No	$467	89.0¢	Won
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?	No	$25	73.0¢	Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?	Yes	$45	45.0¢	Won

Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Lost
No$432 @ 15.8¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
No$1.5k @ 49.6¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Lost
Yes$341 @ 56.8¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Won
No$1.5k @ 62.0¢
Over $18M committed to the Credible public sale?Lost
No$2 @ 34.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Won
No$467 @ 89.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Lost
No$25 @ 73.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Won
Yes$45 @ 45.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Politics	No	$1.5k	59.3¢
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?	—	No	$617	73.3¢
GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$422	26.7¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?	—	No	$380	33.5¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	—	No	$300	63.0¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	—	No	$240	30.0¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?	—	No	$189	81.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$39	19.5¢
Will $ANSEM reach $0.8 before 2027?	—	No	$23	53.0¢

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics
No$1.5k @ 59.3¢
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?—
No$617 @ 73.3¢
GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?Crypto
No$422 @ 26.7¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?—
No$380 @ 33.5¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?—
No$300 @ 63.0¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?—
No$240 @ 30.0¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?—
No$189 @ 81.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$39 @ 19.5¢
Will $ANSEM reach $0.8 before 2027?—
No$23 @ 53.0¢