0xff06…2f60

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xff06e8c95b984f236a08be2c4b9909be306c2f60
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+13.6pp

ROI

+55%

Win rate

26% @ 12.2¢

Brier

0.138

Resolved

864

Avg size

$53

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (21/44)	+54%	44
Economy	61% (14/23)	+67%	23
Politics	57% (12/21)	+33%	21
Sports	19% (3/16)	+37%	16
Geopolitics	64% (7/11)	+86%	11

Other44 bets
Hit rate
48% (21/44)
ROI
+54%
Economy23 bets
Hit rate
61% (14/23)
ROI
+67%
Politics21 bets
Hit rate
57% (12/21)
ROI
+33%
Sports16 bets
Hit rate
19% (3/16)
ROI
+37%
Geopolitics11 bets
Hit rate
64% (7/11)
ROI
+86%

Track record

50% hit · 57/115

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	$19	19.0¢	Won
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20	1.9¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$53	13.0¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	$260	87.9¢	Won
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 3:00-4:59?	Yes	$23	8.7¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	$10	19.0¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	$453	23.9¢	Won
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$105	21.0¢	Won
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in July?	Yes	$64	1.5¢	Lost
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	$60	0.4¢	Lost
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	No	$114	8.9¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?	No	$97	52.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	$370	32.0¢	Lost
Will Mads Pedersen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	$244	88.2¢	Won
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July?	Yes	$37	0.8¢	Lost
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	$25	2.9¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$9	0.8¢	Lost
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	$50	10.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$1.2k	86.0¢	Won
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$96	3.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	No	$361	51.9¢	Lost
Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by August 31?	No	$234	57.5¢	Won
Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?	Yes	$55	10.0¢	Won
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in July?	Yes	$37	0.5¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 14, 2026?	Yes	$24	1.7¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$1.7k	76.7¢	Won
Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	No	$819	67.4¢	Won
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	$113	26.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	$1.3k	78.0¢	Won
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in July?	Yes	$3	0.2¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in November?	No	$378	36.9¢	Lost
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?	Yes	$53	33.0¢	Won
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	$3.3k	69.1¢	Won
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?	Yes	$112	31.5¢	Won
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	$80	8.0¢	Lost
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$93	2.3¢	Lost
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	Yes	$252	37.0¢	Won
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	No	$122	51.2¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	$56	56.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?	No	$230	63.0¢	Won
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$50	11.0¢	Won
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?	Yes	$54	0.5¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?	No	$1.5k	46.2¢	Won
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	$26	25.0¢	Lost
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5	Under	$39	18.0¢	Lost
Will Kylian Mbappe score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$22	4.0¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September?	No	$93	30.5¢	Won
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	No	$23	43.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$1.1k	74.3¢	Won
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$24	19.0¢	Won

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Won
Yes$19 @ 19.0¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$20 @ 1.9¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Lost
Yes$53 @ 13.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Won
Yes$260 @ 87.9¢
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 3:00-4:59?Lost
Yes$23 @ 8.7¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Lost
Yes$10 @ 19.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Won
Yes$453 @ 23.9¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
Yes$105 @ 21.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in July?Lost
Yes$64 @ 1.5¢
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Lost
Yes$60 @ 0.4¢
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?Lost
No$114 @ 8.9¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?Lost
No$97 @ 52.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Lost
No$370 @ 32.0¢
Will Mads Pedersen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?Won
Yes$244 @ 88.2¢
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July?Lost
Yes$37 @ 0.8¢
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Lost
Yes$25 @ 2.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$9 @ 0.8¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Lost
Yes$50 @ 10.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$1.2k @ 86.0¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$96 @ 3.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Lost
No$361 @ 51.9¢
Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by August 31?Won
No$234 @ 57.5¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?Won
Yes$55 @ 10.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in July?Lost
Yes$37 @ 0.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$24 @ 1.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$1.7k @ 76.7¢
Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?Won
No$819 @ 67.4¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$113 @ 26.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Won
No$1.3k @ 78.0¢
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in July?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in November?Lost
No$378 @ 36.9¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Won
Yes$53 @ 33.0¢
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Won
No$3.3k @ 69.1¢
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?Won
Yes$112 @ 31.5¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$80 @ 8.0¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$93 @ 2.3¢
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Won
Yes$252 @ 37.0¢
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Won
No$122 @ 51.2¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?Lost
No$56 @ 56.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Won
No$230 @ 63.0¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Won
Yes$50 @ 11.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Lost
Yes$54 @ 0.5¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?Won
No$1.5k @ 46.2¢
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?Lost
Yes$26 @ 25.0¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5Lost
Under$39 @ 18.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappe score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$22 @ 4.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September?Won
No$93 @ 30.5¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$23 @ 43.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$1.1k @ 74.3¢
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$24 @ 19.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$6.1k	20.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	No	$3.6k	46.7¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	Economy	Yes	$3.2k	85.0¢
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3.0k	15.2¢
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$982	56.5¢
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Sports	No	$761	46.1¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Economy	Yes	$732	79.5¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?	Economy	Yes	$487	62.7¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$212	54.0¢
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$199	51.0¢
Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	Yes	$14	0.3¢
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	Yes	$14	0.8¢
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in October?	Economy	Yes	$1	0.5¢

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics
Yes$6.1k @ 20.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
No$3.6k @ 46.7¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Economy
Yes$3.2k @ 85.0¢
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Politics
Yes$3.0k @ 15.2¢
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$982 @ 56.5¢
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Sports
No$761 @ 46.1¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Economy
Yes$732 @ 79.5¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?Economy
Yes$487 @ 62.7¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$212 @ 54.0¢
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$199 @ 51.0¢
Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
Yes$14 @ 0.3¢
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
Yes$14 @ 0.8¢
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in October?Economy
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢