0xff06…2f60

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other17 bets

  Hit rate

  53% (9/17)

  ROI

  +43%

• Politics13 bets

  Hit rate

  46% (6/13)

  ROI

  +36%

• Economy6 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (4/6)

  ROI

  +140%

• Sports5 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/5)

  ROI

  -100%

• Geopolitics4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  +95%

• Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 1.9¢
• Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Lost
  Yes$53 @ 13.0¢
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Won
  Yes$260 @ 87.9¢
• Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 3:00-4:59?Lost
  Yes$23 @ 8.7¢
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Won
  Yes$453 @ 23.9¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
  Yes$105 @ 21.0¢
• Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?Lost
  No$114 @ 8.9¢
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?Lost
  No$97 @ 52.8¢
• Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Lost
  Yes$25 @ 2.9¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 0.8¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Lost
  Yes$50 @ 10.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$1.2k @ 86.0¢
• Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$96 @ 3.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 14, 2026?Lost
  Yes$24 @ 1.7¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
  No$1.7k @ 76.7¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Won
  No$1.3k @ 78.0¢
• Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Won
  No$3.3k @ 69.1¢
• Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?Won
  Yes$112 @ 31.5¢
• Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Lost
  No$80 @ 8.0¢
• Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$93 @ 2.3¢
• Fed rate hike in 2026?Won
  Yes$50 @ 11.0¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Lost
  Yes$54 @ 0.5¢
• Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5Lost
  Under$39 @ 18.0¢
• Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
  No$23 @ 43.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
  No$1.1k @ 74.3¢
• Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$24 @ 19.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Won
  No$252 @ 42.1¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$31 @ 12.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Won
  No$3.0k @ 76.5¢
• 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Lost
  Yes$165 @ 6.0¢
• Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Lost
  Yes$71 @ 1.2¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Won
  No$225 @ 45.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Won
  No$4.4k @ 80.3¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Lost
  Yes$150 @ 5.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Won
  No$407 @ 58.1¢
• Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$390 @ 39.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Won
  No$3.0k @ 70.6¢
• Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Lost
  No$77 @ 22.0¢
• Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?Won
  Yes$1.3k @ 47.7¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Lost
  No$241 @ 31.9¢
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?Lost
  No$497 @ 58.2¢
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?Won
  Yes$147 @ 15.3¢
• Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsLost
  Yes$24 @ 3.0¢
• 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Won
  Yes$386 @ 12.4¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Won
  No$1.4k @ 82.0¢