← Market consensus

Activeends Jul 31, 2026

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

90.5¢

No

9.5¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 5 tracked sharps

Lean

No 60%Yes 40%

5 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x0845…6b6f	No	$890	5.0¢	3.9×	+71%	55%	Sharp
0xc7d0…1f8a	Yes	$532	93.2¢	21×	+25%	54%	Profitable
0xe879…6d22	Yes	$96	95.8¢	0.8×	+40%	89%	Sharp
0x71ab…f015	No	$64	3.7¢	1.0×	+24%	32%	Sharp
0xb8a4…a13b	No	$0	4.2¢	0.3×	+33%	21%	Sharp

0x0845…6b6fSharp

No$890 @ 5.0¢

Conv: 3.9×
ROI: +71%
Win%: 55%

0xc7d0…1f8aProfitable

Yes$532 @ 93.2¢

Conv: 21×
ROI: +25%
Win%: 54%

0xe879…6d22Sharp

Yes$96 @ 95.8¢

Conv: 0.8×
ROI: +40%
Win%: 89%

0x71ab…f015Sharp

No$64 @ 3.7¢

Conv: 1.0×
ROI: +24%
Win%: 32%

0xb8a4…a13bSharp

No$0 @ 4.2¢

Conv: 0.3×
ROI: +33%
Win%: 21%