0xf2a3…8a8d

Specialization by sphere

• Politics8 bets

  Hit rate

  88% (7/8)

  ROI

  +20%

• Sports7 bets

  Hit rate

  86% (6/7)

  ROI

  +9%

• Other5 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (5/5)

  ROI

  +39%

• Geopolitics2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +32%

• Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Won
  Yes$5 @ 80.0¢
• Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
  Yes$15 @ 68.0¢
• Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$20 @ 74.2¢
• Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Won
  Yes$5 @ 89.0¢
• Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Won
  No$20 @ 68.5¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$163 @ 70.9¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Won
  No$20 @ 90.0¢
• Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Won
  No$10 @ 85.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
  No$177 @ 80.3¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Won
  No$27 @ 72.5¢
• Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Won
  Yes$22 @ 51.2¢
• Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Won
  Yes$6 @ 82.0¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$20 @ 77.0¢
• Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?Won
  Yes$7 @ 84.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
  No$96 @ 68.2¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
  No$24 @ 75.0¢
• Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$30 @ 72.7¢
• US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$15 @ 84.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Won
  No$395 @ 73.2¢
• Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$83 @ 67.5¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Won
  No$91 @ 78.4¢
• Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Lost
  Yes$15 @ 58.0¢

Current positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?—
  No$287 @ 89.5¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?—
  No$205 @ 86.4¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$155 @ 86.1¢
• Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics
  No$153 @ 87.5¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$109 @ 85.9¢
• Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Politics
  No$108 @ 95.9¢
• Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?—
  Yes$107 @ 87.5¢
• Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$106 @ 87.2¢
• Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Politics
  No$91 @ 89.3¢
• Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics
  Yes$85 @ 52.7¢
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics
  No$85 @ 79.5¢
• Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or SPD?—
  CDU$68 @ 90.3¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics
  No$60 @ 86.0¢
• Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics
  No$60 @ 94.8¢
• Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?Politics
  No$52 @ 93.6¢
• Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?—
  Yes$38 @ 81.3¢
• Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics
  No$24 @ 48.6¢
• Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics
  Yes$24 @ 21.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  No$20 @ 20.0¢
• Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? Politics
  No$20 @ 97.9¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
  No$20 @ 91.0¢
• Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics
  No$20 @ 83.9¢
• SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?Economy
  Yes$9 @ 44.9¢