← Smart money
0xeb6f…25f0
ProfitableEdge
+54.1pp
ROI
+106%
Win rate
91% @ 37.1¢
Brier
0.364
Resolved
993
Avg size
$462
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 63% (5/8) | +111% | 8 |
| Other | 33% (1/3) | -92% | 3 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +76% | 1 |
- Politics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (5/8)
- ROI
- +111%
- Other3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -92%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +76%
Track record
58% hit · 7/12- Yes$67 @ 67.0¢
- No$2.8k @ 3.7¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 0.7¢
- Yes$6.6k @ 83.1¢
- Yes$74 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$42.4k @ 56.7¢
- No$10.5k @ 70.0¢
- Yes$219.5k @ 39.8¢
- No$141.2k @ 45.3¢
- Yes$34.5k @ 57.0¢
- No$196 @ 85.2¢
- No$208 @ 81.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$18.5k @ 94.5¢
- Yes$17.0k @ 65.2¢
- Yes$14.6k @ 53.1¢
- No$14.0k @ 94.5¢
- No$6.3k @ 91.3¢
- Yes$6.3k @ 64.2¢
- No$4.8k @ 68.5¢
- Yes$4.3k @ 59.4¢
- No$2.9k @ 52.0¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 35.2¢
- US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$1.8k @ 90.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 81.5¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 72.5¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 81.4¢
- Yes$901 @ 51.8¢
- Yes$864 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$533 @ 72.3¢
- Yes$207 @ 29.8¢
- Yes$112 @ 10.8¢
- No$94 @ 94.2¢
- No$92 @ 92.0¢
- No$33 @ 59.8¢
- No$2 @ 76.0¢