← Market consensus

PoliticsActiveends Jul 29, 2026

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

2.1¢

No

97.9¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 7 tracked sharps

Strong

No 94%Yes 6%

7 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x8e77…c4f3	No	$4.8k	96.6¢	11×	+13%	91%	Sharp
0x8575…87fe	Yes	$182	20.0¢	2.6×	+20%	51%	Sharp
0x71e1…45f0	Yes	$44	10.0¢	0.3×	+23%	47%	Sharp
0xebf1…3f2c	Yes	$40	1.6¢	0.4×	+57%	10%	Sharp
0xa3ad…6866	Yes	$29	20.0¢	1.3×	+12%	41%	Sharp
0xfbd9…700b	Yes	$5	12.0¢	1.2×	+166%	33%	Sharp
0x6e2e…79bf	Yes	$1	5.3¢	0.0×	+38%	77%	Sharp

0x8e77…c4f3Sharp

No$4.8k @ 96.6¢

Conv: 11×
ROI: +13%
Win%: 91%

0x8575…87feSharp

Yes$182 @ 20.0¢

Conv: 2.6×
ROI: +20%
Win%: 51%

0x71e1…45f0Sharp

Yes$44 @ 10.0¢

Conv: 0.3×
ROI: +23%
Win%: 47%

0xebf1…3f2cSharp

Yes$40 @ 1.6¢

Conv: 0.4×
ROI: +57%
Win%: 10%

0xa3ad…6866Sharp

Yes$29 @ 20.0¢

Conv: 1.3×
ROI: +12%
Win%: 41%

0xfbd9…700bSharp

Yes$5 @ 12.0¢

Conv: 1.2×
ROI: +166%
Win%: 33%

0x6e2e…79bfSharp

Yes$1 @ 5.3¢

Conv: 0.0×
ROI: +38%
Win%: 77%